The economic power of high quality relationships
To understand the connection between customer relationships and
growth, begin with a simple fact: In business, every decision
ultimately involves economic tradeoffs. Every company would want
better relationships with customers if these relationships were
free. Every CEO would prefer to meet earnings goals with good
profits than with bad if there were no cost involved. Indeed, the
abuse of customers would end tomorrow if ending it had no effect on
companies' financial performance. But of course building
high-quality relationships does cost something-often a considerable
amount. It requires investment. It requires reducing a company's
reliance on bad profits. There is no way to deceive or exploit
customers and build better relationships with them at the same
time.
But the real question is not just the costs but the benefits,
and how the one stacks up against the other. Companies need to
understand the economic value that results from building better
customer relationships. They must be able to answer questions such
as these: What would it be worth to raise our NPS (Net Promoter
Scores) by ten points? Where would this improvement show up in our
financials? At the moment, few managers can answer these questions.
This [section] will begin to clarify the economics in terms that
numbers-oriented executives will understand.
First, however, it may help to see some real-life examples of
how great customer relationships generate economic benefits.
The home mortgage business provides one good illustration of the
connection between good relationships and good economics. An
average mortgage originator (salesperson) earns about $50,000 per
year, with repeat customers and referrals accounting for between 20
and 40 percent of revenues. By contrast, the most successful
mortgage originators can earn $1 million a year or more and
typically generate at least 80 percent of their revenues from
repeat customers or referrals. Getting customers to return-and
getting them to bring their friends with them-completely changes
the economics of the business for individual sales reps.
That kind of relationship building can also transform the
economics of a company. Consider HomeBanc Mortgage Corporation, an
Atlanta-based firm that traces its ancestry to a bank chartered in
1929. In the early 1990s HomeBanc was a small company with about
150 employees, only one office outside Georgia, and mortgage volume
of about $500 million. By early 2005 the company had grown to some
1,200 employees, twenty-two branches in Georgia, Florida, and North
Carolina, and more than $6 billion in mortgage volume. CEO Pat
Flood's loyalty-based strategy depends heavily on repeat business
and referrals, and it works. The company does little consumer
advertising, yet growth in mortgage originations has exceeded 25
percent a year for the past decade, more than double the market
average. The average NPS in the mortgage industry is 3 percent;
HomeBanc's latest figure exceeds 80 percent.
High-quality customer relationships can transform the economics
of retailing.
The economic advantage of this kind of growth enables HomeBanc to
invest a significant amount of time and money in training. As part
of the company's boot-camp-style training programs, for instance,
new recruits spend seven to nine weeks at corporate headquarters
before making solo calls on their first customer. The
training-coupled with careful hiring-leads to high-caliber service,
infrequent errors, and happy customers. Repeat business and
referrals, in turn, allow HomeBanc to record productivity levels 60
percent higher than recent industry standards. As a result,
compensation of mortgage originators is well above industry
norms.
HomeBanc has effectively eliminated bad profits by offering a
money-back guarantee. Any customer can reclaim the $375 application
fee if he or she is dissatisfied for any reason. Fewer than 0.5
percent of HomeBanc's customers claim this refund. The company
piles up good profits with loan-loss rates more than 20 percent
below industry averages. Already a market leader in Georgia, it is
rapidly expanding in both Florida and North Carolina.
High quality customer relationships can transform the economics
of retailing as well. Costco, the wholesale club company, boasts an
NPS of 79 percent and has grown to 45 million members despite
spending little on advertising or marketing. While a typical
big-box supermarket carries forty thousand SKUs, Costco stores have
only forty-five hundred-only those items on which it can provide
outstanding value. Sales per store are almost twice those at
Wal-Mart's Sam's Club, its closest competitor. Costco's success
funds a generous compensation package for its employees. New hires
start at $10 an hour-high for the retail industry-and progress to
$40,000 a year after three years. They receive a benefits package
virtually unequalled in the industry. Low turnover and long tenure
reduce hiring and training costs and boost productivity; they also
contribute to Costco's remarkably low inventory-shrinkage rate,
which is only 13 percent of the industry average. The company
eliminates bad profits through a generous return policy-there is no
time limit on returns except for a limit of six months on computer
technology items. Costco's earnings grew at 16.5 percent a year
from 1994 to 2004, while the stock-price gains exceeded 20 percent
a year.
The storyline is much the same at every company that has built
communities of good relationships. Enterprise Rent-A-Car charges
less than competitors, pays its employees far more, and has grown
so fast that it is now the largest single buyer of cars and light
trucks in the United States. Chick-fil-A was able to grow nearly 15
percent annually between 1994 and 2004, despite ranking near the
bottom of its industry in national marketing expenditures as a
percentage of sales. The company generates superior profits in the
price-sensitive fast-food business while helping the average
operator of a freestanding restaurant earn more than $170,000 a
year, far more than comparable managers at competitors. Both
companies have recorded Net Promoter Scores well above the rest of
the industry. Clearly, superior relationships drive economic
advantage in ways that leave the competition mystified.
Why NPS works
Let's strip away the mystery. The value of a promoter or a
detractor can be quantified. Given the vital role of word of mouth,
indeed, NPS must be quantified. You may not have all the data you
need at your fingertips, but most companies are able to produce it.
If exact figures aren't available, use reasonable estimates.
The first step is to calculate the lifetime value of your
average customer. This process is described in Chapter 2 of my book
The Loyalty Effect and in many other books as well. The fundamental
approach is to tally up all the cash flows that occur over the life
of a typical customer relationship, then to convert this total into
today's dollars using a reasonable discount rate.
The next step is to understand that the lifetime value of an
average customer by itself isn't very useful. In fact, promoters
and detractors exhibit dramatically different behaviors and produce
dramatically different economic results. The following list
describes several factors that distinguish promoters and detractors
and offers some tips for estimating their economic effects on your
business.
Retention rate. Detractors generally defect at higher rates than
promoters, which means that they have shorter and less profitable
relationships with a company. By tagging customers as promoters or
detractors on the basis of their response to the "would recommend"
question, you can determine true retention patterns over time and
quantify their impact. You can estimate the average tenure of your
current population of detractors and promoters even before
gathering the time-series data. Just ask them on the same survey
with the "would recommend" question how long they've been
customers, and then use this average tenure to infer likely
retention patterns.
Margins. Promoters are usually less price-sensitive than other
customers because they believe they are getting good value overall
from the company. The opposite is true for detractors: They're more
price-sensitive. You'll need to examine the market basket of goods
or services purchased by promoters and detractors over a six- to
twelve-month period and then calculate the margin on each basket,
keeping track of discounts and price concessions.
Annual spend. Promoters increase their purchases more rapidly than
detractors. The reason is that they tend to consolidate more of
their category purchases with their favorite supplier. Your share
of wallet increases as promoters upgrade to higher-priced products
and respond to cross-selling efforts. Promoters' interest in new
product offerings and brand extensions far exceeds that of
detractors or passives.
Cost efficiencies. Detractors complain more frequently, thereby
consuming customer-service resources. Some companies also find that
credit losses are higher for detractors. (Perhaps that is how the
detractors exact revenge.) Customer-acquisition costs are also
lower for promoters, due to both the longer duration of their
relationships and their role in generating referrals.
Word of mouth. This component of NPS merits a somewhat more
detailed consideration because it is so important and because it
seems to be the one that stumps most analysts. Begin by quantifying
(by survey if necessary) the proportion of new customers who
selected your firm because of reputation or referral. The lifetime
value of these new customers, including any savings in sales or
marketing expense, should be allocated to promoters. (Between 80
and 90 percent of positive referrals come from promoters.) Keep in
mind that referred customers usually have superior economics
themselves; they also have a higher propensity to become promoters,
which accelerates the positive spiral of referrals.
Detractors, meanwhile, are responsible for 80 to 90 percent of the
negative word of mouth, and the cost of this drag on growth should
be allocated to them. Perhaps the easiest way to estimate the cost
is to determine how many positive comments are neutralized by one
negative comment and how many potential referrals have therefore
been lost. This number can be accurately determined only through
customer interviews, but for an initial estimate it's safe to
assume that each negative comment neutralizes from three to ten
positives. For example, consider the process you might go through
in searching for a dentist when you move to a new town. If you hear
one negative comment about a particular dentist from a trusted
friend or colleague, how many positive comments will you need to
hear before you select that dentist?
Excerpted by permission of Harvard Business School Press from
The Ultimate Question: Driving Profits and True Growth by Fred
Reichheld. Copyright 2006 by Harvard Business School Publishing
Corporation; all rights reserved.
Fred Reichheld is Director Emeritus and a fellow at Bain &
Company. He wrote The Loyalty Effect (1996) and Loyalty Rules
(2001), both published by Harvard Business School Press.