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A superabundance of capital will influence the shape and tempo of global economic growth through the end of the decade. For business leaders, the trick will be avoiding the bubbles and instead uncovering the real growth opportunities in advanced and developing economies.
September 9, 2011 | Bain Brief
Eight trillion-dollar macro trends are at work in the global economy. The pursuit by both business and government of the opportunities they offer will touch many corners of the globe. Exciting opportunities exist in emerging markets, but we also see opportunities where many commentators see none right now—in the home markets of many of the world’s leading businesses.
Big demand is coming on line, but the emerging market "middle class" will be poorer overall.
Urbanization in developing nations and obsolescence in developed nations will spur infrastructure spending.
A transient opportunity for defense contractors.
Increased demand for basic commodities.
Investments in workforce training will be required to lift skill levels in new markets and to remain competitive in developed ones.
Healthcare spending will continue to grow, but at slower rates.
For the affluent, the search for quality improvement rather than quantity will drive consumption trends.
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