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      Etude

      Quantum Will Not Speed Up Your Enterprise

      Quantum Will Not Speed Up Your Enterprise

      It will reshape a few critical problems—including cybersecurity and optimization—faster than many leaders expect.

      Par Eric Sheng, Laurent-Pierre Baculard, et John Kanan

      • min
      }

      Etude

      Quantum Will Not Speed Up Your Enterprise
      en
      En Bref
      • Quantum is not a general-purpose speedup—it creates value in a narrow set of high-impact problems.
      • Cybersecurity is the first enterprise-wide impact, making post-quantum readiness an urgent board priority, with long migration timelines and near-term regulatory pressure.
      • Optimization benefits will be selective, requiring disciplined focus on high-value use cases where quantum outperforms strong existing solutions on economically critical workloads.
      • Simulation holds the greatest long-term upside, especially for R&D-driven industries where breakthroughs in materials, pharma, and energy could reshape innovation.

      Quantum computing is often discussed as if it were simply a faster computer. For executives, that is the wrong starting point.

      The better way to think about quantum is this: It is not a general-purpose speedup story. It is a story about specific classes of problems—and that distinction matters because it should shape how leaders think about strategy, readiness, and capital allocation.

      Some problems may eventually see dramatic gains from quantum computing. Others may see more modest improvements. Many may see no commercially meaningful benefit at all. Quantum's impact, in other words, is unlikely to be spread evenly across the enterprise. It is more likely to concentrate in a small number of high-value problems, and its most immediate enterprise-wide implication may come through cybersecurity.

      That makes quantum a boardroom issue now. Not because it is about to transform all computing, but because it may reshape a few critical areas of risk and value faster than many leadership teams expect. The window for preparation is shorter than most assume, and the organizations that start late will find themselves playing catch-up on problems that do not wait.

      For companies assessing what quantum means for them, the strategic question is not: Do we have a quantum strategy? It is more specific and more useful: Which of our important problems fall into categories where quantum could matter, and how should that change what we do today?

      Why leaders should care now

      Quantum is easy to misread. The hype suggests universal disruption. The skeptical view assumes commercial relevance is still too far away to matter. Both positions miss the real leadership challenge.

      The more useful framing is narrower. Quantum creates two distinct issues for executives.

      The first is defensive. A sufficiently capable quantum computer could undermine today's public-key cryptography, which is why post-quantum cryptography (PQC) has moved from technical planning to enterprise risk management. For most companies, this is the first quantum issue that matters at scale. It cuts across infrastructure, digital identity, software supply chains, vendor ecosystems, and long-lived sensitive data.

      The second is strategic. Quantum is moving closer to practical value in selected domains, but not as a universal compute layer. That means most companies do not need a sweeping quantum transformation agenda. They do need a disciplined way to identify where value could emerge first, where the technology is most relevant to their economics, and where selective early moves may matter.

      This is where many leadership teams need a better lens. The risk is not only overinvesting in quantum hype. It is also underpreparing for the areas where the consequences may be real.

      Three problem classes that matter most

      For executives, the most practical way to think about quantum is not by scientific discipline, but by computational workload family. Three classes matter most.

      1. Cryptography and algebraic computation

      This is the most immediate and universal category. It applies across industries, whether or not a company ever uses quantum computing to create direct business value.

      The reason is that many critical systems rely on mathematical problems that are hard for classical computers but may become tractable for sufficiently advanced quantum systems. That changes the security assumptions behind public-key infrastructure, digital signatures, secure communications, and identity architectures.

      For leaders, this is less an innovation question than a resilience question. Which business-critical systems rely on cryptography that’s vulnerable to quantum systems? Which assets have long migration timelines? Which third parties are embedded in the company's cryptographic stack? Which data would still be sensitive if it were decrypted years from now?

      Many companies recognize the pressing need to address these questions. Nearly 90% of global organizations expect increased budgets specifically for PQC-related risks over the next three to five years, according to Bain’s Cybersecurity and Post-Quantum Computing Survey. But only about 10% report having a fully developed and funded PQC plan. One example is a global bank that’s moving forward on quantum-secured cryptographic models for financial transactions, alongside AI-driven cyber defense, using quantum cryptography to secure cross-border financial transactions.

      In many boardrooms, this should be the first and most concrete quantum discussion. It is enterprise-wide, it is actionable, and it does not depend on betting on a future quantum business case.

      2. Optimization, search, and decision problems

      This is the category that most naturally attracts executive attention because it links directly to performance. Many of the most important business decisions involve finding better outcomes under constraints: routing, scheduling, resource allocation, portfolio construction, production planning, network design.

      The opportunity is real. So is the risk of overstatement.

      Optimization is not one problem. It is a large and varied family of problems, many of which already have strong classical solutions. That is why the relevant question is not whether quantum can optimize the enterprise. It is whether there are specific decision problems for which scale, structure, or economic importance make a targeted improvement valuable enough to matter.

      That distinction is critical. In logistics, a major sector of quantum computing use case applications, the answer may lie in routing and scheduling; in energy, dispatch and grid balancing; in manufacturing, production sequencing; and in financial services, selected portfolio and risk decisions. In each case, the potential may be meaningful, but it is unlikely to be broad-based.

      A global aerospace and defense company, for example, is deploying quantum technologies to enhance the performance of sensors, including radars and sonars, potentially by orders of magnitude. In domains where computing power is critical, the company is applying quantum computing to accelerate the OODA loop (Observe, Orient, Detect, Act). The stakes are particularly high in a market that requires rigorous validation of deployed algorithms.

      For executives, this is where discipline matters most. Quantum should not be treated as a blanket answer to operational complexity. It should be evaluated as a selective advantage against the best classical alternative for a specific use case.

      3. Scientific and engineering simulation

      This may be the most strategically compelling long-term class because it reaches beyond efficiency into innovation.

      Quantum computers may eventually be better suited to simulating certain molecules, materials, and physical processes than classical systems are. If that happens at useful scale, the impact could be significant in industries where competitive advantage depends on scientific discovery and engineering performance.

      That makes this class particularly relevant in pharmaceuticals, chemicals, advanced materials, energy, climate technologies, and semiconductors. Here, the upside is not simply lower cost. It is the possibility of faster learning cycles, more productive R&D, and stronger innovation pipelines, supported in part by quantum computing’s potential for comparisons of multiple scenarios faster than alternative computing capabilities.

      One regional energy company is piloting projects to optimize smart charging for electric vehicles and simulate hydroelectric structures. The firm views quantum computing as a complement to classical supercomputers for tackling complex challenges such as materials simulation and physical modeling.

      That said, executives should not confuse scientific promise with near-term certainty. Simulation is one of the strongest reasons to take quantum seriously, but its commercial timing will vary by problem and by hardware progress. The right question is not whether this category matters in theory. It is where it may matter enough to influence portfolio choices, partnership strategy, or the direction of R&D investment.

      Mapping the landscape

      These three classes differ not only in kind but in how broadly they expose the enterprise and how urgently they demand action.

      Source: Bain & Company

      Cryptography sits in the upper right of that landscape: It touches every company and requires a defensive response now. Optimization occupies the middle ground—selectively relevant and worth exploring where specific high-value problems align with the technology, but not a blanket mandate. Simulation anchors the lower left: potentially transformative for R&D-intensive sectors, but on a longer timeline that calls for building options rather than forcing commitments.

      The distinction matters because it determines both who owns the conversation and what inaction costs.

      Cryptography is a chief information security officer and board-level issue—and adversaries are already harvesting encrypted data today, banking on future quantum decryption capability. Optimization is a business-unit question, evaluated case by case against the strongest classical alternative, where the cost of delay is potentially ceding a performance edge. Simulation is an R&D leadership question, where falling behind in partnerships and workflow readiness is real but more forgiving.

      This unevenness is the strategic fact that matters. The relevant comparison is not quantum against a vague notion of traditional computing. It is quantum against the strongest available classical approach for a specific problem that matters to the business.

      A practical agenda for executives

      For most leadership teams, the right response has three parts.

      First, defend now. Post-quantum cryptography should already be on the enterprise risk agenda. Companies need visibility into cryptographic dependencies, migration priorities, and third-party exposure. Large enterprises may need 12 to 15 years for complete migration, and the first regulatory compliance deadlines arrive as early as 2027. Organizations beginning this work in 2026 are already on the outer edge of a responsible timeline.

      Second, explore selectively. Most companies do not need a wide portfolio of quantum pilots. They need a small number of focused efforts linked to high-value problems where there is a plausible fit between the workload and the technology. Each opportunity should be evaluated with discipline, problem by problem, against the best available classical approach.

      Third, build options. For companies in simulation-relevant sectors, the right posture is to invest modestly in partnerships, embed scientists in early quantum hardware collaborations, and ensure R&D workflows are ready to integrate quantum subroutines when the technology matures. The companies that will benefit most from quantum simulation are not necessarily those investing the most today. They are the ones that will be best positioned to act when the moment arrives.

      While quantum computing can deliver real competitive advantage, alongside existing and developing AI and agentic systems, it will not matter evenly across the enterprise. That is precisely why it matters in the boardroom. The winners will be companies that understand earliest which problem classes matter to their business, which do not, and what that question demands of them starting next Monday morning.

      Auteurs
      • Headshot of Eric Sheng
        Eric Sheng
        Partner, Silicon Valley
      • Headshot of Laurent-Pierre Baculard
        Laurent-Pierre Baculard
        Partner, Paris
      • Headshot of John Kanan
        John Kanan
        Partner, Atlanta
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