Brief
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At a Glance
Stablecoins are having a headline moment as US legislators turn their attention to clarifying the rules of the game. But in fact, a number of prominent companies have for years been expanding their stablecoin holdings and uses around the globe, especially outside the US. Stablecoin issuers have become one of the largest holders of US Treasury securities (see Figure 1). And the supply of stablecoins has risen sharply over the past five years (see Figure 2).
Figure 1
Notes: Estimated international holdings of US Treasury marketable and nonmarketable bills, bonds, and notes as reported by the US Department of the Treasury (January 2025); Tether holds about $116 billion in US Treasurys and Treasury-related instruments; Circle holds about $50 billion in US Treasurys and Treasury repurchase agreements Sources: US Department of the Treasury (January 2025); Tether Auditors’ Reports on the Reserves (December 2024); Circle Reserve Fund Attestation (February 2025)
Figure 2
Notes: Illustration excluding smaller US dollar–denominated stablecoins as well as non–US dollar stablecoins; average supply of stablecoins refers to coins in circulation directly tied to the reserve assets backing them to maintain their price stability Source: Visa Onchain Analytics Dashboard (as of April 2025)Stablecoins are a type of digital asset with special characteristics. They’re typically pegged to a fiat currency and backed by pooled currency reserves or other high-quality liquid assets held in financial institutions (such as short-term Treasurys), which allows them to maintain a stable value. They’re issued by banks or private nonbank entities, operating under money transmitter regulations. And they’re typically distributed and transferable over blockchain networks. Lack of clear, comprehensive regulation previously limited the regulated financial services industry globally from using stablecoins. Now that outlook has changed and triggered offerings in private blockchain projects or public stablecoins from regulated entities such as PayPal, Stripe, and other major financial firms. The US Congress is debating regulation of stablecoin issuers, covering reserve backing, liquidity requirements, consumer protections, and anti-money–laundering and know-your-customer (AML/KYC) provisions. Should US regulation emerge from Congress, it could close the gap in regulatory clarity with other countries. The EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation, United Arab Emirates’ Payment Token Services Regulation, and the Monetary Authority of Singapore’s stablecoin regulatory framework have been in place since 2023 and 2024, with similar high-level regulatory requirements. Yet no global standard has emerged, and no single regulator has comprehensive authority over stablecoin issuers today, which thus operate under diverse charters and contend with many areas of uncertainty. Regulatory clarity will open the door to broader opportunities, notably around asset transfers and settlements. Reconciliation of business payments, for instance, could be done almost instantaneously at any time, instead of taking days for clearance or being limited to certain windows of availability such as bank working days. Early use cases have shown promise, including global remittances, internal branch-to-branch or book transfers for banks, or intercompany settlements that are faster and less costly than straight wire transfers. However, challenges remain in deploying stablecoins for more consumer-facing use cases. Simplifying and improving customers’ experiences will be essential to expanding the technology throughout financial systems. In that respect, the rise of stablecoins is analogous to the period when digital payment wallets emerged. These wallets differed only slightly (technically speaking) from physical cards. Yet they had to overcome barriers to adoption, including consumer skepticism, build-out of in-store infrastructure, and lack of back-end network and customer support. The market structure had to develop incrementally over time. Prominent use cases to dateStablecoins’ unique value proposition includes several elements that can generate positive customer and business experiences.
Incumbent companies have already begun to implement stablecoin use cases (see Figure 3). Business-to-business payments and settlement is a major area of activity, with Circle, J.P. Morgan, and Société Générale piloting stablecoin-based solutions in round-the-clock liquidity and global payments. Companies targeting this stream of offerings will need to determine which regions, flows, and types of buyers and sellers to target.
Figure 3
In remittances and cross-border transactions, companies such as Stripe use stablecoins to cut costs and settlement time. Note, though, that much of the current process delay relates to AML/KYC and risk concerns, and the relevant controls and compliance regimes will remain with stablecoins. Still, stablecoins could streamline the experience and reduce costs. For everyday transactions, platforms, including Visa and Shopify, have begun using two prominent stablecoins—namely, Circle’s USDC and PayPal’s PYUSD. A significant challenge to broad adoption here will be delivering a clear and compelling value proposition, overcoming customers’ initial unfamiliarity, skepticism, or their allegiance to loyalty point and reward programs—perhaps by offering discounts for stablecoin use. Finally, new rails such as J.P. Morgan’s Kinexys support tokenized money market funds, bonds, and programmable payments. How participants may be affectedLooking across the financial system, stablecoins could have varying effects.
As stablecoins evolve, banks, payment companies, and technology platforms will want to monitor and evaluate the forces driving market adoption. Above all, stablecoins’ value proposition must be compelling for consumers, businesses, or financial institutions relative to the status quo. The rate of adoption will also be dependent on companies solving issues around errors, fraud, chargebacks, and returns that are already well addressed by the existing payments networks. Despite the recent focus by regulators, many questions still must be answered, so uncertainty remains a constraint for full institutional adoption in the US. Any new regulation should address consumer protection and legal classification gaps around issues such as fraud. And globally, cybersecurity and compliance will have to be better aligned and should scale up to meet regulatory scrutiny and consumer expectations of trust. Signposts to guide next stepsSimilar to many other technologies, unlocking stablecoins’ full potential over the coming years will require continued education and development, as well as further integration with existing systems in banking, payments, and settlements. Companies that want to participate will need to develop solid, detailed plans on three fronts: a clear strategy for their target use cases, a blueprint for integrating with their existing infrastructure and core systems, and a path to adding differentiation and a clear and compelling value proposition for customers. To keep ahead of potential near-term scenarios, companies should monitor a useful set of signposts:
Stablecoins’ future is far from certain at this point. But they can flourish if regulatory support and private investment combine to create a market structure for products that improve customers’ financial lives. |