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      Report

      Letter from Hugh MacArthur: The Beginning of the Rest of the Story?

      Letter from Hugh MacArthur: The Beginning of the Rest of the Story?

      The private equity industry has had five years of unprecedented success.

      By Hugh MacArthur

      • min read
      }

      Report

      Letter from Hugh MacArthur: The Beginning of the Rest of the Story?
      en

      This letter introduces Bain’s 2019 Global Private Equity Report. Explore the contents of the report here or download the PDF to read the full report.

      Dear Colleague:

      The past five years have been ones of unprecedented success for the private equity industry. During that span, more money has been raised, invested and distributed back to investors than in any other period in the industry’s history. Private investment in general, and private equity in particular, seems to be on a secular penetration curve that has no end in sight. Yet, there are also some cautionary notes to sound.

      Returns, while still strong relative to other asset classes, have slowly declined toward public market averages during the period. Persistent high prices, volatile capital markets, US–China trade arguments, Brexit worries and, of course, the ever-present threat of recession have injected a sense of uncertainty that dealmakers dislike. The pace of technological change is also increasing in almost every industry, making it harder to forecast winners and losers. So, while the good times are rolling, some bells of worry are tolling.

      In this, Bain’s 10th-anniversary Global Private Equity Report, we look fearlessly at the industry’s strengths, its challenges and the evolutionary path that lies ahead. In addition to the critical statistics that characterize PE industry performance, you’ll find our assessment of how to do “buy-and-builds” properly and why this tactic is increasing in popularity. Building on last year’s assertion that PE firms need to increase their 10% share of the approximately 40,000 M&A deals done globally each year, we discuss how firms are building merger integration muscles to better compete with corporate buyers, and why the integration process should begin during due diligence. We also take a hard look at adjacency strategy 2.0 and the new wave of equity products that many PE firms are moving into aggressively, hoping to find higher returns and more productive ways to invest capital at scale.

      In addition, we zero in on exciting topics such as advanced analytics, which speeds insight in both diligence and post-close value addition; liquidity solutions for general partners; and the Chinese PE market, which is on the leading edge in areas like technology.

      We close our 2019 review of important trends in private equity by getting out our crystal ball. It’s a bit cloudy (as is everyone’s), but we see fundamental shifts happening in capital markets that are likely to drive a long-term trend toward much larger private capital (and private equity) opportunities vs. traditional public equity models. This ongoing movement will have seismic impacts for providers of capital, investors of that capital and for the companies owned by a widening variety of private models. It portends a future in which a much larger share of capital flows into private markets. Perhaps this is indeed the beginning of “the rest of the story” for the PE industry.

      Hugh MacArthur
      Head of Global Private Equity

      Explore the contents of Bain’s 2019 Global Private Equity Report here or download the PDF to read the full report.

      Read the Next Section

      Private Equity: Still Booming, but Is the Cycle Near Its End?

      Authors
      • Headshot of Hugh MacArthur
        Hugh MacArthur
        Partner, Boston
      Related Industries
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      Private Equity: Still Booming, but Is the Cycle Near Its End?

      Deal count declines, but value jumps to a five-year record.

      Read more
      Private Equity
      Buy-and-Build: A Powerful PE Strategy, but Hard to Pull Off

      Getting it right hinges on three critical factors.

      Read more
      Private Equity
      Public Vs. Private Assets: The Big Switch

      The pendulum has swung in favor of private—will it swing back?

      Read more
      Private Equity
      Spotting the Downturn Early and Coming Out Ahead with Gryphon’s David Andrews

      We ask the co-CEO of Gryphon Investors how he spotted one of the harshest cycles in the industry’s history and when he thinks it may finally break.

      Read more
      Private Equity
      What Kind of AI Cycle Are We Actually In?

      The question for investors is not whether AI will boom or bust, but who may be unwittingly subsidizing the buildout.

      Read more
      First published in febrero 2019
      Tags
      • Private Equity

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