Skip to Content
  • Offices

    Offices

    North & Latin America
    • Atlanta
    • Austin
    • Bogota
    • Boston
    • Buenos Aires
    • Chicago
    • Dallas
    • Denver
    • Houston
    • Los Angeles
    • Mexico City
    • Minneapolis
    • Monterrey
    • Montreal
    • New York
    • Rio de Janeiro
    • San Francisco
    • Santiago
    • São Paulo
    • Seattle
    • Silicon Valley
    • Toronto
    • Washington, DC
    Europe & Africa
    • Amsterdam
    • Athens
    • Berlin
    • Brussels
    • Copenhagen
    • Dusseldorf
    • Frankfurt
    • Helsinki
    • Istanbul
    • Johannesburg
    • Kyiv
    • Lisbon
    • London
    • Madrid
    • Milan
    • Munich
    • Oslo
    • Paris
    • Rome
    • Stockholm
    • Vienna
    • Warsaw
    • Zurich
    Middle East
    • Doha
    • Dubai
    • Riyadh
    Asia & Australia
    • Bangkok
    • Beijing
    • Bengaluru
    • Brisbane
    • Ho Chi Minh City
    • Hong Kong
    • Jakarta
    • Kuala Lumpur
    • Manila
    • Melbourne
    • Mumbai
    • New Delhi
    • Perth
    • Shanghai
    • Singapore
    • Sydney
    • Tokyo
    See all offices
  • Alumni
  • Media Center
  • Subscribe
  • Contact
  • Colombia | Español

    Select your region and language

    Global
    • Global (English)
    North & Latin America
    • Brazil (Português)
    • Argentina (Español)
    • Canada (Français)
    • Chile (Español)
    • Colombia (Español)
    Europe, Middle East, & Africa
    • France (Français)
    • DACH Region (Deutsch)
    • Italy (Italiano)
    • Spain (Español)
    • Greece (Elliniká)
    Asia & Australia
    • China (中文版)
    • Korea (한국어)
    • Japan (日本語)
  • Saved items (0)
    Saved items (0)

    You have no saved items.

    Bookmark content that interests you and it will be saved here for you to read or share later.

    Explore Bain Insights
  • Industries
    Main menu

    Industries

    • Aeroespacial y Defensa
    • Agroindustria
    • Químicos
    • Construcción e Infraestructura
    • Productos de Consumo
    • Servicios Financieros
    • Salud y Ciencias de la Vida
    • Maquinaria y Equipo Industrial
    • Medios y Entretenimiento
      Industries
      Medios y Entretenimiento
      • Media Lab
    • Metales
    • Minería
    • Petróleo y Gas
    • Papel y Empaque
    • Private Equity
      Industries
      Private Equity
      • Due Diligence
      • Exit Planning
      • Firm Strategy & Operations
      • Portfolio Value Creation
    • Sector Público y Social
    • Retail
    • Tecnología
    • Telecomunicaciones
      Industries
      Telecomunicaciones
      • Capital Expenditure
      • Telco Digital Transformation
    • Transporte
    • Viajes y Turismo
    • Servicios Públicos y Energías Renovables
  • Consulting Services
    Main menu

    Consulting Services

    • Customer Experience
    • Sustainability
    • Innovation
    • M&A
    • Operations
    • People & Organization
    • Private Equity
    • Sales & Marketing
    • Strategy
    • AI, Insights, and Solutions
    • Technology
    • Transformation
  • Digital
  • Insights
    Main menu

    Insights

    • Industry Insights
    • Services Insights
    • Bain Books
    • Webinars
    • Bain Futures
    View all Insights
    Featured topics
    • Tariff Response
    • Artificial Intelligence
    • Thriving in Uncertainty
    • Executive Conversations
    • Macro Trends
    • M&A Report
    • Healthcare Private Equity Report
    • Paper & Packaging Report
    • Technology Report
    • CEO's Guide to Sustainability
    • CEO Insights
    • CFO Insights
    • COO Insights
    • CIO Insights
    • CMO Insights
    View all featured topics
  • About
    Main menu

    About

    • What We Do
    • What We Believe
    • Our People & Leadership
    • Client Results
    • Awards & Recognition
    • Global Affiliations
    Further: Our global responsibility
    • Sustainability
    • Social Impact
    • World Economic Forum
    Learn more about Further
  • Carreras
    Main menu

    Carreras

    • Trabaja con Nosotros
      Carreras
      Trabaja con Nosotros
      • Find Your Place
      • Nuestras Áreas de Trabajo
      • Equipos Integrados
      • Estudiantes
      • Internships & Programs
      • Eventos de Reclutamiento
    • La Vida en Bain
      Carreras
      La Vida en Bain
      • Blog: Inside Bain
      • Historias Profesionales
      • Nuestra Gente
      • Dónde Trabajamos
      • Apoyando tu Crecimiento
      • Grupos de Afinidad
      • Beneficios
    • Impact Stories
    • Nuestro Proceso
      Carreras
      Nuestro Proceso
      • Qué Esperar
      • Entrevistas
    FIND JOBS
  • Offices
    Main menu

    Offices

    • North & Latin America
      Offices
      North & Latin America
      • Atlanta
      • Austin
      • Bogota
      • Boston
      • Buenos Aires
      • Chicago
      • Dallas
      • Denver
      • Houston
      • Los Angeles
      • Mexico City
      • Minneapolis
      • Monterrey
      • Montreal
      • New York
      • Rio de Janeiro
      • San Francisco
      • Santiago
      • São Paulo
      • Seattle
      • Silicon Valley
      • Toronto
      • Washington, DC
    • Europe & Africa
      Offices
      Europe & Africa
      • Amsterdam
      • Athens
      • Berlin
      • Brussels
      • Copenhagen
      • Dusseldorf
      • Frankfurt
      • Helsinki
      • Istanbul
      • Johannesburg
      • Kyiv
      • Lisbon
      • London
      • Madrid
      • Milan
      • Munich
      • Oslo
      • Paris
      • Rome
      • Stockholm
      • Vienna
      • Warsaw
      • Zurich
    • Middle East
      Offices
      Middle East
      • Doha
      • Dubai
      • Riyadh
    • Asia & Australia
      Offices
      Asia & Australia
      • Bangkok
      • Beijing
      • Bengaluru
      • Brisbane
      • Ho Chi Minh City
      • Hong Kong
      • Jakarta
      • Kuala Lumpur
      • Manila
      • Melbourne
      • Mumbai
      • New Delhi
      • Perth
      • Shanghai
      • Singapore
      • Sydney
      • Tokyo
    See all offices
  • Alumni
  • Media Center
  • Subscribe
  • Contact
  • Colombia | Español
    Main menu

    Select your region and language

    • Global
      Select your region and language
      Global
      • Global (English)
    • North & Latin America
      Select your region and language
      North & Latin America
      • Brazil (Português)
      • Argentina (Español)
      • Canada (Français)
      • Chile (Español)
      • Colombia (Español)
    • Europe, Middle East, & Africa
      Select your region and language
      Europe, Middle East, & Africa
      • France (Français)
      • DACH Region (Deutsch)
      • Italy (Italiano)
      • Spain (Español)
      • Greece (Elliniká)
    • Asia & Australia
      Select your region and language
      Asia & Australia
      • China (中文版)
      • Korea (한국어)
      • Japan (日本語)
  • Saved items  (0)
    Main menu
    Saved items (0)

    You have no saved items.

    Bookmark content that interests you and it will be saved here for you to read or share later.

    Explore Bain Insights
  • Industries
    • Industries

      • Aeroespacial y Defensa
      • Agroindustria
      • Químicos
      • Construcción e Infraestructura
      • Productos de Consumo
      • Servicios Financieros
      • Salud y Ciencias de la Vida
      • Maquinaria y Equipo Industrial
      • Medios y Entretenimiento
      • Metales
      • Minería
      • Petróleo y Gas
      • Papel y Empaque
      • Private Equity
      • Sector Público y Social
      • Retail
      • Tecnología
      • Telecomunicaciones
      • Transporte
      • Viajes y Turismo
      • Servicios Públicos y Energías Renovables
  • Consulting Services
    • Consulting Services

      • Customer Experience
      • Sustainability
      • Innovation
      • M&A
      • Operations
      • People & Organization
      • Private Equity
      • Sales & Marketing
      • Strategy
      • AI, Insights, and Solutions
      • Technology
      • Transformation
  • Digital
  • Insights
    • Insights

      • Industry Insights
      • Services Insights
      • Bain Books
      • Webinars
      • Bain Futures
      View all Insights
      Featured topics
      • Tariff Response
      • Artificial Intelligence
      • Thriving in Uncertainty
      • Executive Conversations
      • Macro Trends
      • M&A Report
      • Healthcare Private Equity Report
      • Paper & Packaging Report
      • Technology Report
      • CEO's Guide to Sustainability
      • CEO Insights
      • CFO Insights
      • COO Insights
      • CIO Insights
      • CMO Insights
      View all featured topics
  • About
    • About

      • What We Do
      • What We Believe
      • Our People & Leadership
      • Client Results
      • Awards & Recognition
      • Global Affiliations
      Further: Our global responsibility
      • Sustainability
      • Social Impact
      • World Economic Forum
      Learn more about Further
  • Carreras
    Popular Searches
    • Agile
    • Digital
    • Strategy
    Your Previous Searches
      Recently Visited Pages

      Content added to saved items

      Saved items (0)

      Removed from saved items

      Saved items (0)

      Forbes.com

      Buy that engagement ring now: The coming supply squeeze in diamonds

      Buy that engagement ring now: The coming supply squeeze in diamonds

      Diamond prices will not be getting any cheaper and might even soar in about four years.

      By Olya Linde and Yury Spektorov

      • min read

      Article

      Buy that engagement ring now: The coming supply squeeze in diamonds
      en

      This article originally appeared in Forbes.com.

      Couples thinking about getting married someday might want to consider way-in-advance planning for the ring. Diamond prices will not be getting any cheaper and might even soar in about four years.

      That’s when existing diamond mines will start to tap out and producers won’t be able to fully replace the loss of supply. The fundamentals of demand growth, meanwhile, remain firmly in place. As a result, there could be steep increases in diamond prices starting in 2018, new analysis by Bain & Company projects.

      Tough economic times crimped diamond sales in the US and Europe after the financial crisis, but these markets improved in 2012 and the first half of 2013. In China and India, the middle class continues to expand and more of these families have been adopting the Western practice of giving diamond jewelry to celebrate engagements, weddings and anniversaries. Worldwide, then, retail sales of diamond jewelry grew 1.8% from 2011 through 2012 to $72 billion.

      Diamond mines will churn out the stones at an estimated average annual growth rate of 4.8% from 2012 through 2018. But starting in 2019, depleted mine inventories around the world, combined with the small number of new mines under development, will cause production to decline by 1.9% annually over the following five years. The easy pickings are gone, and diamonds are getting technically harder to find and extract.

      Also, banks that specialize in diamond financing are becoming more stringent in their lending practices. If that retreat continues, the industry will need to locate alternative sources of financing. Given the limited knowledge about the market among conventional lenders, they would want to see more financial and performance data than industry players traditionally have provided.

      Meanwhile, we expect global demand for diamonds to grow at a compound annual rate of 5.1% from now through 2023. That’s more than twice the anticipated growth rate of supply—implying higher prices at every stage of the value chain.

      This emerging supply-and-demand gap will force all the players to evaluate their strategies:

      Mining companies already feel pressure to raise their performance. Rough-diamond producers reacted to falling prices in 2012 by cutting their planned output. Though total output rose by a modest 4% in 2012, it was still far off its peak in 2006. Stable prices in the short term mean that mining companies will have to operate more efficiently in order to maintain profitability.

      Polishers, cutters, and others in the middle of chain currently benefit from a balance of supply and demand. But in this highly fragmented middle market, the larger players earn margins double or triple the 1-2% levels of most smaller players, which is spurring a lot of consolidation. That could intensify as supply and demand get out of whack.

      For retailers, securing an adequate supply of stones over the long term is becoming a major challenge. They will be looking for ways to lock in supply through a variety of channels—from investing in mines, to becoming actual sightholders (authorized bulk buyers), to forming partnerships with existing producers, as Tiffany and Chow Tai Fook of Hong Kong have done.

      Disruption and consolidation always present investment opportunities, and we expect private equity (PE) firms to step up their activity in the diamond business. Transactions like the BHP Billiton sale of its Ekati mine to Harry Winston, which in turn sold its retail business to the Swatch Group, has sparked a lot of interest. PE firms also take note when smaller producers, like Petra and Gem, turn around older mines through clever processes and technologies, raising their productivity and profitability in the bargain. Such shifts can make for attractive investments as assets become available for acquisition.

      Individual investors—at least well-heeled ones—increasingly have ways to jump into the fray as well. Despite persistent difficulties with valuation, the absence of a spot market, and lack of a track record, new funds are emerging. Pink Iguana in the UK, for example, has set up a fund for investors contributing £10,000 to £1 million into polished diamonds, with the advantage of additional tax benefits. Another diamond fund from Swiss Asset Advisors will offer investors the flexibility to have their investment returned at any time.

      The biggest hurdle for investment funds is the lack of solid public information, especially about transaction prices. If the industry can embrace transparency, skeptical investors might be won over and jump in before prices spike.

      Written by Olya Linde and Yury Spektorov, partners of Bain & Company based, respectively, in Moscow and Kiev.

      Authors
      • Headshot of Olya Linde
        Olya Linde
        Partner, Zurich
      • Headshot of Yury Spektorov
        Yury Spektorov
        Partner, Doha
      Related Industries
      • Energy & Natural Resources
      • Mining
      Energy & Natural Resources
      Mining M&A

      The next frontier isn’t about avoiding failure; it’s about mastering repeatable success.

      Read more
      Energy & Natural Resources
      Sustaining Capital: From Chaos to Discipline

      Fragmented budgets, poor visibility, and missed forecasts are fixable with the right approach.

      Read more
      Energy & Natural Resources
      Mining Operational Excellence: From Basics to Breakthroughs

      Mining companies can unlock lasting value by getting the fundamentals right and knowing where innovation makes the greatest impact.

      Read more
      Energy & Natural Resources
      Energy Capital Expenditures: Steady Growth Ahead

      Utilities, oil and gas, and mining will see uneven capex growth through 2027 as companies balance supply security with energy transition goals.

      Read more
      Energy & Natural Resources
      POWERful Women's Annual State of the Nation 2025

      Bain & Company collaborated with POWERful Women on their annual report on female representation in the UK energy industry.

      Read more
      First published in octubre 2013
      Tags
      • Energy & Natural Resources
      • Mining

      How We've Helped Clients

      An Environmental Services Company Captures Massive Savings from a Merger

      See more related case studies

      New products propel profitability for metals manufacturer

      See more related case studies

      Revitalizing a utility's market position with customer loyalty

      See more related case studies

      Want to continue the conversation

      We help global leaders with their organization's most critical issues and opportunities. Together, we create enduring change and results

      Bain Insights. Our perspectives on critical issues global businesses face in today's challenging environment, delivered monthly.

      *I have read and understand Bain’s Privacy Notice.

      Please read and agree to the Privacy Policy.
      Bain & Company
      Contact us Sustainability Accessibility Terms of use Privacy Modern Slavery Act Statement Cookie Policy Sitemap Log In

      © 1996-2026 Bain & Company, Inc.

      Contact Bain

      How can we help you?

      • Business inquiry
      • Career information
      • Press relations
      • Partnership request
      • Speaker request
      See all offices