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      Snap Chart

      Can the US Energy Grid Keep Up with AI Data Centers?

      Our latest forecast projects data centers will consume 9% of US electricity by 2030, straining the grid without new solutions.

      By Aaron Denman, Maeghan Rouch, Peter Hanbury, Padraic Brick, and Tatum Quinn

      Snap Chart

      Can the US Energy Grid Keep Up with AI Data Centers?
      visualization
      en

      US data centers’ electricity consumption is projected to more than double from 2024 to 2030, according to the latest baseline forecast from Bain’s Data Center Model. Although we expect there will be sufficient supply to meet demand, our baseline scenario estimates total US consumption in 2030 will be about 150 terawatt-hours higher than the amount forecasted by the US Energy Information Administration.

      On top of the ongoing efforts to build additional traditional power generation and transmission infrastructure, meeting the demand will require a diverse set of coordinated actions, including:

      • promoting flexible power solutions (e.g., battery energy storage systems) integrated with the grid to improve its reliability;
      • implementing demand response programs that incentivize adaptable electricity usage; and
      • facilitating on-site power generation—such as natural gas, rooftop solar, and restarted nuclear plants—which can be developed faster than utility-scale solutions.

      The authors wish to thank Paul Bockwoldt and Fernando Valdes for their contributions to this analysis.

      Authors
      • Headshot of Aaron Denman
        Aaron Denman
        Partner, Chicago
      • Headshot of Maeghan Rouch
        Maeghan Rouch
        Partner, Denver
      • Headshot of Peter Hanbury
        Peter Hanbury
        Partner, San Francisco
      • Headshot of Padraic Brick
        Padraic Brick
        Partner, San Francisco
      • Headshot of Tatum  Quinn
        Tatum Quinn
        Associate Partner, New York
      First published in octubre 2025
      Tags
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      • Artificial Intelligence
      • Artificial Intelligence Insights
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      • Energy & Natural Resources
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