Skip to Content
  • Offices

    Offices

    North & Latin America
    • Atlanta
    • Austin
    • Bogota
    • Boston
    • Buenos Aires
    • Chicago
    • Dallas
    • Denver
    • Houston
    • Los Angeles
    • Mexico City
    • Minneapolis
    • Monterrey
    • Montreal
    • New York
    • Rio de Janeiro
    • San Francisco
    • Santiago
    • São Paulo
    • Seattle
    • Silicon Valley
    • Toronto
    • Washington, DC
    Europe & Africa
    • Amsterdam
    • Athens
    • Berlin
    • Brussels
    • Copenhagen
    • Dusseldorf
    • Frankfurt
    • Helsinki
    • Istanbul
    • Johannesburg
    • Kyiv
    • Lisbon
    • London
    • Madrid
    • Milan
    • Munich
    • Oslo
    • Paris
    • Rome
    • Stockholm
    • Vienna
    • Warsaw
    • Zurich
    Middle East
    • Doha
    • Dubai
    • Riyadh
    Asia & Australia
    • Bangkok
    • Beijing
    • Bengaluru
    • Brisbane
    • Ho Chi Minh City
    • Hong Kong
    • Jakarta
    • Kuala Lumpur
    • Manila
    • Melbourne
    • Mumbai
    • New Delhi
    • Perth
    • Seoul
    • Shanghai
    • Singapore
    • Sydney
    • Tokyo
    See all offices
  • Alumni
  • Media Center
  • Subscribe
  • Contact
  • Brazil | Português

    Select your region and language

    Global
    • Global (English)
    North & Latin America
    • Brazil (Português)
    • Argentina (Español)
    • Canada (Français)
    • Chile (Español)
    • Colombia (Español)
    Europe, Middle East, & Africa
    • France (Français)
    • DACH Region (Deutsch)
    • Italy (Italiano)
    • Spain (Español)
    • Greece (Elliniká)
    Asia & Australia
    • China (中文版)
    • Korea (한국어)
    • Japan (日本語)
  • Saved items (0)
    Saved items (0)

    You have no saved items.

    Bookmark content that interests you and it will be saved here for you to read or share later.

    Explore Bain Insights
  • Industries
    Main menu

    Industries

    • Aeroespacial e Defesa
    • Agronegócio
    • Química
    • Construção e Infraestrutura
    • Bens de Consumo
    • Serviços Financeiros
    • Healthcare & Life Sciences
    • Máquinas e Equipamentos Industriais
    • Mídia e Entretenimento
      Industries
      Mídia e Entretenimento
      • Media Lab
    • Metais
    • Mineração
    • Petróleo e Gás
    • Papel e Embalagens
    • Private Equity
      Industries
      Private Equity
      • Due Diligence
      • Exit Planning
      • Firm Strategy & Operations
      • Portfolio Value Creation
    • Setor Público e Social
    • Varejo
    • Tecnologia
    • Telecomunicações
      Industries
      Telecomunicações
      • Capital Expenditure
      • Telco Digital Transformation
    • Transporte
    • Turismo & Lazer
    • Energia & Renováveis
  • Consulting Services
    Main menu

    Consulting Services

    • Customer Experience
    • Sustainability
    • Innovation
    • M&A
    • Operations
    • People & Organization
    • Private Equity
    • Sales & Marketing
    • Strategy
    • AI, Insights, and Solutions
    • Technology
    • Transformation
  • Digital
  • Insights
    Main menu

    Insights

    • Industry Insights
    • Services Insights
    • Bain Books
    • Webinars
    • Bain Futures
    View all Insights
    Featured topics
    • Tariff Response
    • Artificial Intelligence
    • Thriving in Uncertainty
    • Executive Conversations
    • Macro Trends
    • Private Equity Report
    • M&A Report
    • Healthcare Private Equity Report
    • Paper & Packaging Report
    • Technology Report
    • CEO Insights
    • CFO Insights
    • COO Insights
    • CIO Insights
    • CMO Insights
    View all featured topics
  • About
    Main menu

    About

    • What We Do
    • What We Believe
    • Our People & Leadership
    • Client Results
    • Awards & Recognition
    • Global Affiliations
    Further: Our global responsibility
    • Sustainability
    • Social Impact
    • World Economic Forum
    Learn more about Further
  • Carreiras
    Main menu

    Carreiras

    • Trabalhe Conosco
      Carreiras
      Trabalhe Conosco
      • Find Your Place
      • Nossas áreas de trabalho
      • Equipes integradas
      • Estudantes
      • Programas e estágios
      • Eventos de Recrutamento
    • A Vida na Bain
      Carreiras
      A Vida na Bain
      • Blog: Inside Bain
      • Histórias de carreira
      • Nossas pessoas
      • Onde trabalhamos
      • Apoioao seu crescimento
      • Grupos de afinidade
      • Benefícios
    • Impact Stories
    • Nosso Processo Seletivo
      Carreiras
      Nosso Processo Seletivo
      • O Que Esperar
      • Entrevistas
    FIND JOBS
  • Offices
    Main menu

    Offices

    • North & Latin America
      Offices
      North & Latin America
      • Atlanta
      • Austin
      • Bogota
      • Boston
      • Buenos Aires
      • Chicago
      • Dallas
      • Denver
      • Houston
      • Los Angeles
      • Mexico City
      • Minneapolis
      • Monterrey
      • Montreal
      • New York
      • Rio de Janeiro
      • San Francisco
      • Santiago
      • São Paulo
      • Seattle
      • Silicon Valley
      • Toronto
      • Washington, DC
    • Europe & Africa
      Offices
      Europe & Africa
      • Amsterdam
      • Athens
      • Berlin
      • Brussels
      • Copenhagen
      • Dusseldorf
      • Frankfurt
      • Helsinki
      • Istanbul
      • Johannesburg
      • Kyiv
      • Lisbon
      • London
      • Madrid
      • Milan
      • Munich
      • Oslo
      • Paris
      • Rome
      • Stockholm
      • Vienna
      • Warsaw
      • Zurich
    • Middle East
      Offices
      Middle East
      • Doha
      • Dubai
      • Riyadh
    • Asia & Australia
      Offices
      Asia & Australia
      • Bangkok
      • Beijing
      • Bengaluru
      • Brisbane
      • Ho Chi Minh City
      • Hong Kong
      • Jakarta
      • Kuala Lumpur
      • Manila
      • Melbourne
      • Mumbai
      • New Delhi
      • Perth
      • Seoul
      • Shanghai
      • Singapore
      • Sydney
      • Tokyo
    See all offices
  • Alumni
  • Media Center
  • Subscribe
  • Contact
  • Brazil | Português
    Main menu

    Select your region and language

    • Global
      Select your region and language
      Global
      • Global (English)
    • North & Latin America
      Select your region and language
      North & Latin America
      • Brazil (Português)
      • Argentina (Español)
      • Canada (Français)
      • Chile (Español)
      • Colombia (Español)
    • Europe, Middle East, & Africa
      Select your region and language
      Europe, Middle East, & Africa
      • France (Français)
      • DACH Region (Deutsch)
      • Italy (Italiano)
      • Spain (Español)
      • Greece (Elliniká)
    • Asia & Australia
      Select your region and language
      Asia & Australia
      • China (中文版)
      • Korea (한국어)
      • Japan (日本語)
  • Saved items  (0)
    Main menu
    Saved items (0)

    You have no saved items.

    Bookmark content that interests you and it will be saved here for you to read or share later.

    Explore Bain Insights
  • Industries
    • Industries

      • Aeroespacial e Defesa
      • Agronegócio
      • Química
      • Construção e Infraestrutura
      • Bens de Consumo
      • Serviços Financeiros
      • Healthcare & Life Sciences
      • Máquinas e Equipamentos Industriais
      • Mídia e Entretenimento
      • Metais
      • Mineração
      • Petróleo e Gás
      • Papel e Embalagens
      • Private Equity
      • Setor Público e Social
      • Varejo
      • Tecnologia
      • Telecomunicações
      • Transporte
      • Turismo & Lazer
      • Energia & Renováveis
  • Consulting Services
    • Consulting Services

      • Customer Experience
      • Sustainability
      • Innovation
      • M&A
      • Operations
      • People & Organization
      • Private Equity
      • Sales & Marketing
      • Strategy
      • AI, Insights, and Solutions
      • Technology
      • Transformation
  • Digital
  • Insights
    • Insights

      • Industry Insights
      • Services Insights
      • Bain Books
      • Webinars
      • Bain Futures
      View all Insights
      Featured topics
      • Tariff Response
      • Artificial Intelligence
      • Thriving in Uncertainty
      • Executive Conversations
      • Macro Trends
      • Private Equity Report
      • M&A Report
      • Healthcare Private Equity Report
      • Paper & Packaging Report
      • Technology Report
      • CEO Insights
      • CFO Insights
      • COO Insights
      • CIO Insights
      • CMO Insights
      View all featured topics
  • About
    • About

      • What We Do
      • What We Believe
      • Our People & Leadership
      • Client Results
      • Awards & Recognition
      • Global Affiliations
      Further: Our global responsibility
      • Sustainability
      • Social Impact
      • World Economic Forum
      Learn more about Further
  • Carreiras
    Popular Searches
    • Agile
    • Digital
    • Strategy
    Your Previous Searches
      Recently Visited Pages

      Content added to saved items

      Saved items (0)

      Removed from saved items

      Saved items (0)

      Forbes.com

      How Capital Superabundance Could Burn Private Equity Investors

      How Capital Superabundance Could Burn Private Equity Investors

      With holding periods stretching out to five years or longer, general partners must weigh future recession risks.

      By Hugh MacArthur, Graham Elton, Bill Halloran and Suvir Varma

      • min read

      Article

      How Capital Superabundance Could Burn Private Equity Investors
      en

      This article originally appeared on Forbes.com.

      The continued expansion of financial assets looks to be an enduring feature of the investment environment, which private equity (PE) firms will need to reckon with for a long time to come. However, the very forces that rescued the boom-year investments—record low interest rates and plentiful capital—are magnifying two issues that are making it more challenging for general partners (GPs) to profit from investments they make today. First, asset prices are and will remain high as investors of all types wield record amounts of capital and are willing to bid up acquisition multiples to acquire assets. Plentiful low-cost debt merely adds upward pressure on prices and ensures they will stay high.

      The second area where capital superabundance pinches is the longer holding periods that will be needed to prepare fully priced assets for exits that can command decent returns. Simple mathematics suggests that holding periods of five years or more look to be the new norm; it takes at least that long to achieve a twofold return on invested capital at IRRs trending toward the mid-teens, which we are currently seeing prospective acquirers use as their underwriting target.

      Further complicating the superheated PE investment climate at a time of capital superabundance is the increased likelihood that the deals GPs undertake today will experience a turn in the business cycle during their hold period. Nearly six years have passed since the US economy hit the bottom of the last recession (see figure). Given an expected five-year holding period for a majority of assets, GPs contemplating an investment should consider that they may need to ride out a downturn that could persist for a year or more.


      forbes-pe-report-2015-fig-02-07_embed

      Instead of waiting for gains from market shifts referred to as “beta” to do their work for them, leading GPs are stacking the odds in their own favor. They are stepping up their due diligence to ensure they can identify the winning factors in a target company that can become the basis for a value-creation plan that can withstand any economic or market climate. As discussed in an earlier post, “Capital Superabundance Is Here To Stay In Private Equity,” Bain has identified a set of winning factors that correlate with deal success. Bain has found few deals that achieved unambiguous success in the absence of at least one winning factor—and the more of these factors there are, the more potential ways for a deal to win. Bain research has found that for companies acquired in transactions where the price paid exceeded 10 times earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA), the winners had an average of more than three winning factors.

      The power of capital superabundance over the fate of PE firms’ success reinforces the importance of deal sourcing that surfaces true gems in a market that commands crown-jewel prices, due diligence that can quickly spot winning factors and warning beacons, and a repeatable value-creation plan that can transform assets into top performers over and over again.

      Written by Hugh MacArthur, Graham Elton, Bill Halloran and Suvir Varma, leaders of Bain & Company’s Private Equity Group.

      Authors
      • Headshot of Hugh MacArthur
        Hugh MacArthur
        Partner, Boston
      • Headshot of Graham Elton
        Graham Elton
        Chairman, EMEA Private Equity, London
      • Headshot of Bill Halloran
        Bill Halloran
        Advisory Partner, San Francisco
      • Headshot of Suvir Varma
        Suvir Varma
        Advisory Partner, Singapore
      Related Industries
      • Private Equity
      Private Equity
      Bain & Company's Global Private Equity Report 2015

      Five building blocks can help private equity firms create value across their portfolio holdings.

      Read more
      Healthcare & Life Sciences
      Global Healthcare Private Equity Report 2015

      Healthcare continues to be an attractive but challenging area for private equity investment.

      Read more
      Private Equity
      Dry Powder: Live from NEXUS 2026

      Jennifer Choi, CEO of ILPA, joins us for a wide-ranging conversation on the current mood among LPs, the mainstreaming of continuation vehicles, and the accelerating race to retail capital.

      Read more
      Private Equity
      Bain & Company’s Global Private Equity Report 2026: Executive Summary

      A glance at the top-line numbers would suggest the industry is gaining traction, but is it?

      Read more
      Private Equity
      Welcome to a New Era in Private Equity

      If you’re waiting for everything to get back to “normal,” don’t hold your breath.

      Read more
      First published in abril 2015
      Tags
      • Private Equity

      How We've Helped Clients

      Smart Pricing Helped a Private Equity Firm Unlock More Value

      See more related case studies

      Rapid Tech Due Diligence Helped a Private Equity Firm Invest with Confidence

      See more related case studies

      Finding profit potential in a struggling private equity portfolio company

      See more related case studies

      Quer saber mais?

      Ajudamos líderes do mundo todo a lidar com desafios e oportunidades cruciais para suas organizações. Juntos, criamos mudanças e resultados duradouros.

      Selected for you

      Global Private Equity Report 2026

      Powering forward in a new era: Our annual report examines key trends shaping the dealmaking landscape.

      For you

      Bain Insights. Our perspectives on critical issues global businesses face in today's challenging environment, delivered monthly.

      *I have read and understand Bain’s Privacy Notice.

      Please read and agree to the Privacy Policy.
      Bain & Company
      Contact us Sustainability Accessibility Terms of use Privacy Cookie Policy Sitemap Log In

      © 1996-2026 Bain & Company, Inc.

      Contact Bain

      How can we help you?

      • Business inquiry
      • Career information
      • Press relations
      • Partnership request
      • Speaker request
      See all offices