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      Dry Powder: The Private Equity Podcast

      Macro Risks: Keep It Simple

      Home in on the mission-critical risks, but don’t sweat the details.

      By Hugh MacArthur and Karen Harris

      Podcast

      Macro Risks: Keep It Simple
      en

      On the previous episode of Dry Powder, Karen Harris, managing director of Bain’s Macro Trends Group, unpacked the macro risks playing out in myriad ways across just about every region of the globe. All of this raises a deeper question: What can an investor actually do about it?

      You can listen to this episode of Dry Powder and catch future episodes by subscribing on Apple Podcasts, Google Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you may listen.

      “Smart investors aren’t wasting a huge amount of time scenario planning around the possibility of an asteroid hitting Siberia, when they’re trying to figure out a deal,” Karen says in part two of our interview series on macro risks.

      Today on Dry Powder, Karen explains how private equity investors can scan their portfolio for mission-critical risks, without getting bogged down in everything that might go wrong.

      “Scenario planning is looking at disjunctive outcomes,” she says. “You don’t have to believe them, but in five years, would we wish we had done X, Y, or Z based on these extreme plausible scenarios?”

      We also consider the upside of macro events, including new business models and new investment opportunities that might emerge in a post-globalized world.

      MORE PODCASTS

      The Private Equity Podcast

      In our podcast series, Bain's Hugh MacArthur interviews leading experts on the trends and opportunities that will redefine the private equity industry.

       

      Authors
      • Headshot of Hugh MacArthur
        Hugh MacArthur
        Partner, Boston
      • Headshot of Karen Harris
        Karen Harris
        Managing Director, Macro Trends Group, New York
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      Private Equity Podcast
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      We ask the co-CEO of Gryphon Investors how he spotted one of the harshest cycles in the industry’s history and when he thinks it may finally break.

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      Macro Update: The Expanding Frontiers of Automation

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      The question for investors is not whether AI will boom or bust, but who may be unwittingly subsidizing the buildout.

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      Macro Update: Navigating Inflation and Policy Shifts Under a New Administration

      With inflation easing and public markets on the rise, the key questions are whether the Federal Reserve has overcorrected and how the new administration will impact the path to recovery.

      Read more
      First published in setembro 2022
      Tags
      • Macro Strategy
      • Macro Trends
      • Private Equity
      • Private Equity Podcast

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