Technology acquirers resume deal activity in the second half of 2020
After pressing the pause button in the first half of 2020, technology M&A came surging back in the second half as companies positioned themselves for a post–Covid-19 digital economy. In semiconductors, AMD acquired Xilinx in a $35 billion all-stock deal. In software, Salesforce bought workplace communication company Slack for $27.7 billion in stock and cash. All told, deal value for corporate acquisitions of tech companies crossed $200 billion in each of the last two quarters of 2020, a level last seen more than two decades ago.
In many ways, it is not surprising. Covid-19 gave businesses in all industries a preview of their virtual futures, and both tech and nontech companies alike rushed to buy and build their way into the opportunity. Across industries, companies are preparing for the post–Covid-19 world by (among other moves) augmenting collaboration tools in areas such as videoconferencing and chat while also reinforcing cybersecurity. Companies with the means are using the opportunity to add these and other new capabilities to reposition their organizations for the future. For example, Verizon announced a timely April acquisition of BlueJeans, a cloud-based videoconferencing and events platform, to extend its portfolio offerings for businesses. As Zoom’s usage grew exponentially and security concerns emerged, Zoom acquired Keybase for its end-to-end encryption expertise to beef up its security credibility.
There are other forces propping up technology M&A. In general, large tech companies—namely, those valued at more than $10 billion—have the benefit of strong cash positions, they have proven themselves relatively resilient during the downturn, and they continued to acquire throughout 2020. Meanwhile, premiums have dropped for many of the small tech companies that hold valuable capabilities and that are potential targets for larger tech acquirers.
One force, however, is working against deal volumes. While regulatory scrutiny has increased in most industries, it has had a particularly heavy impact on technology as regulators take a heightened interest in technology deals.
Regulators are reviewing deals aggressively for antitrust concerns. Antitrust was at the heart of the suits launched in December against Facebook by the US Federal Trade Commission and 46 states. The suits allege that the company is maintaining its personal social networking monopoly illegally through a yearslong course of anticompetitive conduct, and they ask the company to divest Instagram and WhatsApp. As antitrust concerns mount, regulators in the US and elsewhere are investigating new approaches to evaluate and manage antitrust issues in technology, where traditional measures to assess competitiveness (primarily revenue) are difficult and where start-ups often maintain high valuations before the company even has revenue, banking on future potential to monetize daily active users down the road.
Also, as we’ve examined in previous M&A reports, regulators are intensifying their efforts to scrutinize cross-border tech deals as a matter of national security. This is most dramatically reflected in the rising actions by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States, an interagency panel that reviews foreign investments for potential national security risks, which has heightened its scrutiny of Chinese ownership. Another unprecedented move on national security in 2020 was the Trump administration mandate that TikTok’s US operations be sold to a US buyer on grounds of national interest, with concerns that user data could be compromised.
Data privacy is another growing area of concern among regulators. Questions of who owns the data and what companies are going to do with the data surface in many proposed tech deals. It became an issue in Google’s $2.1 billion bid for Fitbit, a wearable tech company, for example. All of this increases the need to prepare for consultations with regulators and broader stakeholder communications during the deal’s diligence and negotiation phases.
Scope deals rise inside and outside tech
Deal activity in 2020 continues a trend that has been steadily building over the past five years. Scope deals, which are usually designed to help a buyer enter faster-growing business segments or to acquire new capabilities, intellectual property, or talent, have grown from representing 44% of large tech deals in 2015 to 81% in 2020 (year-to-date in September), far outnumbering traditional scale deals that generate cost synergies. Compare that with the average of 56% scope M&A among all industries (see Figure 1).
Scope deals accounted for more than 80% of all technology M&A, far more than other industries
The scope activity takes two forms: technology companies buying within tech; and companies from other industries buying tech companies to get out ahead of digital disruption. Companies in automotive are acquiring capabilities for autonomous driving and electric vehicles, for example. Industrial companies are buying assets to deliver integrated Internet of Things solutions and products for Industry 4.0 and robotics—that was the impetus behind Aveva’s purchase of OSIsoft. Financial services companies are buying their way into peer-to-peer payments, e-commerce payments, and blockchain. Most significant is the rising interest of private equity investors in the tech space. Together acquirers from other industries and private equity now account for nearly three-quarters of deals in the technology sector, up from about 60% a decade ago (see Figure 2).
Nontech acquirers are increasingly active in the technology sector
For technology industry acquirers, this interest from other industries and financial sponsors means more competition and higher deal premiums. The mounting competition requires tech companies to be more rigorous in what they bid on, with clear plans for realizing synergies.
Technology acquisitions require a different approach
Nontech companies buying tech assets have a new set of rules to follow. In many ways, technology companies are different from those in any other industry, and there are meaningful risks that need to be anticipated and mitigated.
Acquirers need to take a different approach to sourcing the right assets. Those more accustomed to purchasing large public companies need to plug into venture capital networks to track opportunities and court founder-led businesses. Some companies are doing this by investing in corporate venture capital, placing smaller investments to foster relationships that can lead to a future acquisition and integration of the assets.
In diligence, it may be necessary to anticipate a more forward-looking financial assessment. In traditional due diligence, much of the effort involves evaluating a target’s past business performance and current competitive position. In digital M&A, acquirers need to become more forward looking, possibly through approaches that evaluate the potential success of the business model under different scenarios as well as through a rigorous understanding of the customers and their evolving needs.
Then, there is the matter of financing. Tech assets typically are expensive compared with those in other industries, often selling at discouragingly high multiples. To mitigate the risk linked with the target’s high multiples, acquirers need to evaluate all potential ﬁnancing solutions and consider adapted payment terms such as earn-outs or other deferred payment mechanisms. For many, the right answer will be alternative participation models such as partnerships (with or without equity) and not outright ownership.
Given the high premiums and risk of acquiring tech assets, it is more important than ever to have a clear integration thesis and a clear understanding of the critical few decisions that will make or break the success of the deal. The integration thesis needs to translate the deal thesis into a roadmap of what needs to be integrated (or not integrated), when to integrate, and how to go about the integration.
In technology deals, talent and culture retention are particularly important for deal success. That is why Amazon offered $100 million in stock awards to retain the more than 900 employees of Zoox, the self-driving car start-up it bought last year. The deal was conditional on acceptance of this retention incentive by a majority of employees. Acquirers must avoid the common mistake of forcing the legacy culture, policies, and approaches onto the new acquisition—it is a recipe for talent defection.
Finally, acquirers need to ensure that the operating model for both companies is designed to integrate enough to enable the new asset to add value to the acquirer’s existing business without stifling the acquired company and killing the operating mechanisms that allowed it to be so innovative in the first place.
As technology deal activity maintains its healthy pace, learning to play by new rules will make the difference between those companies that guide the digital future and those that are written out of it.