Skip to Content
  • Offices

    Offices

    North & Latin America
    • Atlanta
    • Austin
    • Bogota
    • Boston
    • Buenos Aires
    • Chicago
    • Dallas
    • Denver
    • Houston
    • Los Angeles
    • Mexico City
    • Minneapolis
    • Monterrey
    • Montreal
    • New York
    • Rio de Janeiro
    • San Francisco
    • Santiago
    • São Paulo
    • Seattle
    • Silicon Valley
    • Toronto
    • Washington, DC
    Europe & Africa
    • Amsterdam
    • Athens
    • Berlin
    • Brussels
    • Copenhagen
    • Dusseldorf
    • Frankfurt
    • Helsinki
    • Istanbul
    • Johannesburg
    • Kyiv
    • Lisbon
    • London
    • Madrid
    • Milan
    • Munich
    • Oslo
    • Paris
    • Rome
    • Stockholm
    • Vienna
    • Warsaw
    • Zurich
    Middle East
    • Doha
    • Dubai
    • Riyadh
    Asia & Australia
    • Bangkok
    • Beijing
    • Bengaluru
    • Brisbane
    • Ho Chi Minh City
    • Hong Kong
    • Jakarta
    • Kuala Lumpur
    • Manila
    • Melbourne
    • Mumbai
    • New Delhi
    • Perth
    • Seoul
    • Shanghai
    • Singapore
    • Sydney
    • Tokyo
    See all offices
  • Alumni
  • Media Center
  • Subscribe
  • Contact
  • Global | English

    Select your region and language

    Global
    • Global (English)
    North & Latin America
    • Brazil (Português)
    • Argentina (Español)
    • Canada (Français)
    • Chile (Español)
    • Colombia (Español)
    Europe, Middle East, & Africa
    • France (Français)
    • DACH Region (Deutsch)
    • Italy (Italiano)
    • Spain (Español)
    • Greece (Elliniká)
    Asia & Australia
    • China (中文版)
    • Korea (한국어)
    • Japan (日本語)
  • Saved items (0)
    Saved items (0)

    You have no saved items.

    Bookmark content that interests you and it will be saved here for you to read or share later.

    Explore Bain Insights
  • Industries
    Main menu

    Industries

    • Aerospace & Defense
    • Agribusiness
    • Chemicals
    • Construction & Infrastructure
    • Consumer Products
    • Financial Services
    • Healthcare & Life Sciences
    • Industrial Machinery & Equipment
    • Media & Entertainment
      Industries
      Media & Entertainment
      • Media Lab
    • Metals
    • Mining
    • Oil & Gas
    • Paper & Packaging
    • Private Equity
      Industries
      Private Equity
      • Due Diligence
      • Exit Planning
      • Firm Strategy & Operations
      • Portfolio Value Creation
    • Social Impact
    • Retail
    • Technology
    • Telecommunications
      Industries
      Telecommunications
      • Capital Expenditure
      • Telco Digital Transformation
    • Transportation
    • Travel & Leisure
    • Utilities & Renewables
  • Consulting Services
    Main menu

    Consulting Services

    • Customer Experience
    • Sustainability
    • Innovation
    • M&A
    • Operations
    • People & Organization
    • Private Equity
    • Sales & Marketing
    • Strategy
    • AI, Insights, and Solutions
    • Technology
    • Transformation
  • Digital
  • Insights
    Main menu

    Insights

    • Industry Insights
    • Services Insights
    • Bain Books
    • Webinars
    • Bain Futures
    View all Insights
    Featured topics
    • Tariff Response
    • Artificial Intelligence
    • Thriving in Uncertainty
    • Executive Conversations
    • Macro Trends
    • Private Equity Report
    • M&A Report
    • Healthcare Private Equity Report
    • Paper & Packaging Report
    • Technology Report
    • CEO Insights
    • CFO Insights
    • COO Insights
    • CIO Insights
    • CMO Insights
    View all featured topics
  • About
    Main menu

    About

    • What We Do
    • What We Believe
    • Our People & Leadership
    • Client Results
    • Awards & Recognition
    • Global Affiliations
    Further: Our global responsibility
    • Sustainability
    • Social Impact
    • World Economic Forum
    Learn more about Further
  • Careers
    Main menu

    Careers

    • Work with Us
      Careers
      Work with Us
      • Find Your Place
      • Our Work Areas
      • Integrated Teams
      • Students
      • Internships & Programs
      • Recruiting Events
    • Life at Bain
      Careers
      Life at Bain
      • Blog: Inside Bain
      • Career Stories
      • Our People
      • Where We Work
      • Supporting Your Growth
      • Affinity Groups
      • Benefits
    • Impact Stories
    • Hiring Process
      Careers
      Hiring Process
      • What to Expect
      • Interviewing
    FIND JOBS
  • Offices
    Main menu

    Offices

    • North & Latin America
      Offices
      North & Latin America
      • Atlanta
      • Austin
      • Bogota
      • Boston
      • Buenos Aires
      • Chicago
      • Dallas
      • Denver
      • Houston
      • Los Angeles
      • Mexico City
      • Minneapolis
      • Monterrey
      • Montreal
      • New York
      • Rio de Janeiro
      • San Francisco
      • Santiago
      • São Paulo
      • Seattle
      • Silicon Valley
      • Toronto
      • Washington, DC
    • Europe & Africa
      Offices
      Europe & Africa
      • Amsterdam
      • Athens
      • Berlin
      • Brussels
      • Copenhagen
      • Dusseldorf
      • Frankfurt
      • Helsinki
      • Istanbul
      • Johannesburg
      • Kyiv
      • Lisbon
      • London
      • Madrid
      • Milan
      • Munich
      • Oslo
      • Paris
      • Rome
      • Stockholm
      • Vienna
      • Warsaw
      • Zurich
    • Middle East
      Offices
      Middle East
      • Doha
      • Dubai
      • Riyadh
    • Asia & Australia
      Offices
      Asia & Australia
      • Bangkok
      • Beijing
      • Bengaluru
      • Brisbane
      • Ho Chi Minh City
      • Hong Kong
      • Jakarta
      • Kuala Lumpur
      • Manila
      • Melbourne
      • Mumbai
      • New Delhi
      • Perth
      • Seoul
      • Shanghai
      • Singapore
      • Sydney
      • Tokyo
    See all offices
  • Alumni
  • Media Center
  • Subscribe
  • Contact
  • Global | English
    Main menu

    Select your region and language

    • Global
      Select your region and language
      Global
      • Global (English)
    • North & Latin America
      Select your region and language
      North & Latin America
      • Brazil (Português)
      • Argentina (Español)
      • Canada (Français)
      • Chile (Español)
      • Colombia (Español)
    • Europe, Middle East, & Africa
      Select your region and language
      Europe, Middle East, & Africa
      • France (Français)
      • DACH Region (Deutsch)
      • Italy (Italiano)
      • Spain (Español)
      • Greece (Elliniká)
    • Asia & Australia
      Select your region and language
      Asia & Australia
      • China (中文版)
      • Korea (한국어)
      • Japan (日本語)
  • Saved items  (0)
    Main menu
    Saved items (0)

    You have no saved items.

    Bookmark content that interests you and it will be saved here for you to read or share later.

    Explore Bain Insights
  • Industries
    • Industries

      • Aerospace & Defense
      • Agribusiness
      • Chemicals
      • Construction & Infrastructure
      • Consumer Products
      • Financial Services
      • Healthcare & Life Sciences
      • Industrial Machinery & Equipment
      • Media & Entertainment
      • Metals
      • Mining
      • Oil & Gas
      • Paper & Packaging
      • Private Equity
      • Social Impact
      • Retail
      • Technology
      • Telecommunications
      • Transportation
      • Travel & Leisure
      • Utilities & Renewables
  • Consulting Services
    • Consulting Services

      • Customer Experience
      • Sustainability
      • Innovation
      • M&A
      • Operations
      • People & Organization
      • Private Equity
      • Sales & Marketing
      • Strategy
      • AI, Insights, and Solutions
      • Technology
      • Transformation
  • Digital
  • Insights
    • Insights

      • Industry Insights
      • Services Insights
      • Bain Books
      • Webinars
      • Bain Futures
      View all Insights
      Featured topics
      • Tariff Response
      • Artificial Intelligence
      • Thriving in Uncertainty
      • Executive Conversations
      • Macro Trends
      • Private Equity Report
      • M&A Report
      • Healthcare Private Equity Report
      • Paper & Packaging Report
      • Technology Report
      • CEO Insights
      • CFO Insights
      • COO Insights
      • CIO Insights
      • CMO Insights
      View all featured topics
  • About
    • About

      • What We Do
      • What We Believe
      • Our People & Leadership
      • Client Results
      • Awards & Recognition
      • Global Affiliations
      Further: Our global responsibility
      • Sustainability
      • Social Impact
      • World Economic Forum
      Learn more about Further
  • Careers
    Popular Searches
    • Agile
    • Digital
    • Strategy
    Your Previous Searches
      Recently Visited Pages

      Content added to saved items

      Saved items (0)

      Removed from saved items

      Saved items (0)

      The Business Times

      How to take the curves in the current turmoil

      How to take the curves in the current turmoil

      The tumultuous events of the past few weeks have battered financial markets and created widespread...

      By Steve Ellis, Till Vestring And Suvir Varma

      • min read

      Article

      How to take the curves in the current turmoil
      en

      The tumultuous events of the past few weeks have battered financial markets from the United States to Europe to Asia, and created huge uncertainty that companies will be reckoning with for months to come. But in the turbulence lies opportunity.

      Like dangerous curves on a racetrack, economic downturns create more opportunities for companies to move from the middle of the pack into leadership positions than any other time in business.

      Unlike straight-aways where leaders can thrive on raw power alone, steep curves require strategic finesse. That often results in dramatic differences in performance as leaders steer out of the curve.

      Some companies have already moved with lightning speed to seize the opportunities that the latest downturn—fuelled by the financial meltdown of Wall Street—has thrown up.

      Take Japan's Nomura Holdings: It swooped down on Lehman Brothers' Asian and European operations in September, just days after the collapse of the fourth largest US investment bank.

      Japan's largest brokerage saw these acquisitions as a strategic move to fulfill its vision of becoming a global investment bank, and as 'a once-in-a-generation opportunity'.

      During the 2001 recession, America's Southwest Airlines surged ahead. With a clean balance sheet, a clear cost advantage and adroitly hedged fuel costs, the discount carrier grew at the expense of rivals. As others eliminated capacity and jobs, Southwest lowered fares to gain market share. It boosted advertising to trumpet its price advantage and built solid relations with labour by avoiding layoffs.

      Southwest is not unique. About 24 per cent more firms moved from the back of the pack to the front in the 2001 downturn compared with the subsequent period of economic calm, according to an eight-year study by Bain & Company that analysed the net profit margins and sales growth of more than 2,500 companies.

      Meanwhile, about one-fifth of all leadership companies—those in the top quartile of financial performance in their industry—fell to the bottom quartile. By comparison, only three-quarters as many companies made such dramatic gains or losses after the recession.

      Staying alert

      Recessions hit some industries harder than others, so staying alert matters. The variations get amplified in a globalising, interdependent economy. That adds both opportunity and complexity.

      The opportunity is to shift focus to economically healthier regions, as Johnson & Johnson, General Electric and IBM did in the second quarter of 2008, reporting solid performance outside the US.

      The complexity arises from having to make long-term investments in global operations with less certainty than ever about where you will be exposed when the next downturn hits.

      Many industry leaders fall from the top during recessions because they assume that a strong market position is an insurance policy against trouble. That approach breeds over-confidence.

      Executives postpone taking precautions or reach for the same levers they pulled in the past—such as hedging their bets by diversifying. When the downturn hits hard they usually over-react. They slash costs and staff indiscriminately, cut capital expenditures, squeeze suppliers, and avoid strategic acquisitions. Then when conditions improve, they must spend heavily to regain momentum.

      Managing costs

      The better approach: Slow in, fast out—like a good driver heading into a sharp curve. Winners in recessions tend to brake quickly heading into a downturn by managing costs carefully and consistently. It's like downshifting to a lower gear to slow momentum and increase responsiveness.

      They focus on what the company does best, reinforcing the core business and spending to gain share. They aggressively monitor the competition to ensure they have the best possible line through the curve.

      That sets them up to accelerate at the apex of the curve, when the economy starts to improve. The farther you can see and the quicker you can turn, the faster you can safely round the corner.

      In the 2001 recession, Intel Corp timed its acceleration effectively to pull away from Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD), its scrappy rival in the chip business. Heading into the recession, AMD's heavy investment in product design was paying off, with AMD's revenues growing three times faster than Intel's.

      Then the recession hit, catching the entire industry with too much capacity. As AMD's lack of profitability prevented it from investing in new production facilities, Intel seized the advantage. It invested in new facilities with state-of-the-art production capability and spent heavily to advertise its P4 processors.

      In the ensuing years, Intel's relative cost position improved dramatically and AMD had to slash 15 per cent of its workforce. The momentum AMD had built quickly evaporated and a re-energised Intel remained the industry leader.

      Another characteristic of companies adept in a downturn: they make bargain acquisitions to build up their core, even when it means taking calculated financial risks.

      As markets improve, they are well-positioned to accelerate. One example: Bank of America's planned acquisition of Merrill Lynch, which may turn out to be 'the strategic opportunity of a lifetime', in the words of Ken Lewis, Bank of America's CEO.

      Key questions

      For most industries, the optimal time to hit the brakes and downshift was months ago. The questions to be asking now are: Where is the apex of the curve, and how hard should we accelerate to take advantage of competitor mistakes? Who is in trouble and dumping valuable assets in order to survive? Can we add great people who are now available?

      The companies with the right answers to those questions will have the inside track coming out of this downturn.

      Steve Ellis is Bain & Company's worldwide managing director. Till Vestring is the managing partner for Bain South-east Asia. Suvir Varma, partner, is the leader of the firm's South-east Asia private equity practice.

      Related Industries
      • Aviation
      • Financial Services
      • Technology
      Attention, Marketers: Actions Speak Loudest

      During this long Covid-19 crisis, consumers are looking beyond a company’s message to whether it walks the talk.

      Read More
      Financial Services
      e-Conomy SEA 2025

      From digital decade to AI reality: Accelerating the future in ASEAN

      Read More
      Financial Services
      AI Won’t Just Cut Costs, It Will Reinvent the Customer Experience

      Beyond efficiency, AI helps create a more personalized experience that delivers a triple play of customer loyalty, employee engagement, and revenue growth.

      Read More
      Financial Services
      When Bots Say No, Customers Don’t Let Go

      For complex service episodes, a machine’s answer often feels hollow. To earn trust and loyalty, companies need human agents in the loop—backed by AI.

      Read More
      Financial Services
      From Pilots to Payoff: Generative AI in Software Development

      AI tools improve productivity, but process changes are necessary to generate real value.

      Read More
      Published in November 2008
      Tags
      • Aviation
      • Financial Services
      • Technology

      How We've Helped Clients

      Sustainability Can Microchips Turbocharge Sustainability Improvement?

      Read case study

      Sales and Marketing Increased sales productivity frees selling time and saves millions

      Read case study

      Change Management The change process unlocks potential and profits

      Read case study

      Ready to talk?

      We work with ambitious leaders who want to define the future, not hide from it. Together, we achieve extraordinary outcomes.

      Selected for you

      Global Private Equity Report 2026

      Powering forward in a new era: Our annual report examines key trends shaping the dealmaking landscape.

      For you

      Stay ahead in a rapidly changing world. Subscribe to Bain Insights, our monthly look at the critical issues facing global businesses.

      *I have read and understand Bain’s Privacy Notice.

      Please read and agree to the Privacy Policy.
      Bain & Company
      Contact us Sustainability Accessibility Terms of use Privacy Modern Slavery Act Statement Cookie Policy Sitemap Log In

      © 1996-2026 Bain & Company, Inc.

      Contact Bain

      How can we help you?

      • Business inquiry
      • Career information
      • Press relations
      • Partnership request
      • Speaker request
      See all offices