Brief
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Pharma hasn’t had to be good at change, and the window to build that muscle is narrowing fast. For 30 years, the economics rewarded companies for moving with caution. Wide US margins meant that even a slow-moving, process-heavy organization generated enough of a return to make wholesale redesign hard to justify. The industry's transformation track record reflects it. Only 11% of healthcare and life sciences transformation programs fully achieve their targets. Another 83% (vs. 75% across all industries) settle for less and land somewhere between halfway and the finish line. That margin protection is now eroding on two fronts at once: US pricing pressure and the unbundling of markets by geography and therapeutic area. Meanwhile, AI is reshaping how work gets done faster than most organizations can absorb. A company that hasn’t built the capacity to change is suddenly being asked to change everything. But the strategy is the easy part. What will separate the companies that pull ahead is a standing muscle for execution, one built to adapt to continuous change. Why old pharma operating models are breaking downPharma built its operating model for a world that no longer exists. For decades, the route from molecule to patient followed the same logic: one development strategy, one regulatory approach, one commercial playbook adapted at the margins. The Internet, managed care, and the data revolution each should have forced a redesign. Instead, pharma added layers. The result is 30 years without meaningful change to the commercial model and little reason to build a transformation muscle. What makes this moment different is simultaneity. Any one of these forces could be handled through incremental adaptation. Together, they’re far more difficult to manage. Start with pricing. The US umbrella is under unprecedented pressure, and, as it compresses, it’s already affecting launch decisions in other geographies. If that pressure intensifies, pharma lands where retail, consumer goods, and tech have always lived: forced to innovate operationally because the economics demand it. Those industries are better at change precisely because they have never had a choice. Then there's the market itself, unbundling along two dimensions at once: geography and therapeutic area. A swelling pipeline of increasingly tailored therapies, rising disease awareness, and a population that needs ever more care are squeezing payers’ and plan sponsors’ budgets everywhere. Geographies are diverging in how they respond: on pricing, on access, on what evidence they’ll pay for. Therapeutic areas are splitting, too, by how individualized the care is and who controls the treatment decisions. Because of this, companies are faced with a higher number of trade-offs and difficult ROI decisions across R&D, commercialization, patient support, and elsewhere.
In the face of this, AI is advancing in bursts, faster than the readiness of most organizations. The technology is available, and the use cases are proving themselves. Yet, most companies are still running fragmented changes that generate more internal swirl than competitive advantage. In our 2026 survey, 45% of pharma clinical trial sponsors said that they are piloting AI in select functions but haven’t restructured a single role. Pharma has access to AI as well as facing the increased costs of its use, but few companies are operating differently because of it at this stage. Pharma's real risk is exposureThese gaps aren’t new, but the cost of them is. Pharma companies articulate sophisticated transformation visions, but they struggle to connect them to market realities and frontline behavior. AI gets declared a priority at the top, but it’s barely discussed at the front line because "the center has it covered." Programs get announced, then absorbed by in-year cost targets. Repeated cycles of change without visible impact breed fatigue, skepticism, and shrinking confidence in leadership. The most telling symptoms can be under the surface. In a typical all-day leadership workshop, for example, a highly paid chief of staff sits with the senior team and spends eight hours taking notes, managing the technology, and keeping the session running. They say almost nothing. It's a sharp illustration of how organizations pull their most capable people toward coordination and away from the work that matters. A company that struggles to adapt won't be surprised by disruption; it will simply be unable to respond fast enough once it arrives. Consider how your organization would respond if:
Each of these is survivable but only for companies fast enough to respond. How pharma companies can build transformations that workSeeing these shifts coming won't be what separates the winners; responding to them will. Several moves will set those companies apart.
Pharma has spent 30 years proving it can discover what no one else can. The next test is whether it can change as fast as it can invent. The authors would like to acknowledge and thank the broader team that contributed to this point of view, including Kristin Moneyron, Brittany Rodriguez, and Jeremy Reich. |