Innovation Report
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At a Glance
- AI enhances, but cannot yet replace, human-led innovation. The best-performing firms use both.
- Technology investment is rising sharply, but not at the expense of R&D, indicating that companies see technology and innovation as joint priorities.
- Among leading innovators we studied, design-to-launch timelines have accelerated rapidly, many by 20% or more.
This article is part of Bain's 2025 Innovation Report.
Companies in search of innovation pour millions into idea challenges, design sprints, and digital suggestion boxes. Hackathons come and go. Whiteboards fill up. But most of these well-intentioned efforts create more noise than breakthroughs. The pipeline overflows with projects, yet few make it to market. Even fewer succeed.
Despite all the tools and buzzwords of modern business, the innovation engine still sputters along, and the process of innovation remains highly inefficient. The best ideas are statistically rare, and while crowdsourcing increases idea flow, it still requires the right incentives to attract quality contributions. Even when great ideas emerge, categorizing and sorting through them remains a slow and manual process. Further down the funnel, success rates are discouraging—only 5% to 25% of new products or services succeed in the market.
Can AI make this process more efficient and effective? The short answer is yes. Research from Harvard University and the University of Washington has explored how AI-assisted crowdsourcing compares to human-only solvers in generating innovation ideas.
While AI-assisted solutions and human-only solutions scored high on forecasted value and creativity, human-generated ideas were significantly stronger in novelty—particularly for highly original, breakthrough innovations. This suggests that AI struggles to produce truly disruptive ideas, making humans an essential part of the process.
That was also the clear finding of our deep dive into the ways that 20 of the Fast Company 50 Most Innovative Companies organize for and invest in innovation. As one executive from a Fast Company innovator told us, “Creativity is one of the areas that AI is less likely to touch in the near-term.”
Creativity is one of the areas that AI is less likely to touch in the near-term.
Where AI will be most effective in innovation
AI's true innovative power lies not in replacing human creativity but in accelerating and scaling every stage of the innovation journey. It is already reshaping how leading companies deploy resources from idea generation to market execution.
This fact is evident in the survey responses of leading innovators about where AI is used now and how deeply they expect it to be embedded in five years' time. While current adoption is concentrated around early-stage concept development and prototyping, respondents expect dramatic increases across every stage of innovation within five years.
AI is already a powerful tool for enhancing efficiency and scaling innovation, particularly in these areas:
- Idea generation and trend analysis. AI can scan vast datasets (market reports, patents, social media trends) to uncover emerging opportunities. Natural Language Processing models can suggest new ideas based on gaps in the market.
- Concept development and prototyping. AI can design and test prototypes virtually, even using synthetic customers, significantly accelerating development cycles. Notably, 31% of the subset of top Fast Company innovators we surveyed have already accelerated design-to-launch timelines by more than 20%. Most expect these timelines to compress even further within the next five years.
How will (or has) your company’s innovation design-to-launch timeline change(d)?
- Data-driven decision making. AI can predict innovation success by analyzing historical data, customer sentiment, and market conditions, reducing failure rates. The Fast Company innovators we spoke with suggest that AI has significantly improved their innovation success rates.
- Automating repetitive R&D tasks. AI can process massive datasets faster than human researchers.
- Enhancing human-centered design. AI can analyze user behavior data to optimize user experience/user interface in real time and gather large-scale customer feedback.
- Funding and investment decision support. AI can predict which start-ups or projects will succeed based on financial data, market trends, and historical outcomes.
Despite its potential, many organizations still focus their AI efforts on process efficiency rather than solving evolving customer problems or building new business. While AI is helping companies move faster, the destination they’re moving toward often remains internally focused.
Where AI falls short in innovation
While AI can enhance innovation, it also has critical blind spots where human ingenuity remains essential:
- Original, out-of-the-box creativity. AI generates ideas based on existing data, which makes it great for incremental improvements, but still weak at radical breakthroughs.
- Risk-taking and intuition-based innovation. Because AI relies on historical data, it’s also risk-averse—another reason it's less likely to propose bold, untested ideas.
- Human judgment and strategic vision. AI can suggest solutions, but choosing the right path—balancing ethics, culture, and business strategy—still remains a human decision.
- Empathy and deep customer understanding. AI lacks emotional intelligence and struggles to grasp the subtleties of human needs.
- Managing unstructured collaboration. Innovation often happens through serendipitous human interactions—brainstorming, informal conversations, and intuitive leaps. AI can facilitate but cannot yet replace this creative energy.
- Regulatory and ethical decision making. AI can recommend compliance strategies, but navigating complex legal, ethical, and societal concerns still requires human oversight.
The future of innovation is human plus AI
AI will dramatically improve innovation efficiency, reducing friction in research, prototyping, and decision making. However, it cannot yet replace the human capacity for original thought, risk-taking, and deep customer understanding. And while the vast majority of leading innovators increased their technology spending over the past three years, their expansion in AI hasn’t come at the expense of innovation. Only 8% of firms report funding AI growth by cutting into R&D, suggesting these capabilities are now viewed as complementary, not competitive.
We’ve seen this blend of human and AI innovation in our own work, with companies seeking to unlock new growth. Take, for example, a leading US life insurer that sought to revitalize its subsidiary’s innovation strategy after initial market struggles. Using AI-driven market analysis, synthetic users, and rapid prototyping, the company was able to validate the subsidiary’s value proposition and create a new B2B offering. By leveraging advanced data science, future-state architecture modeling, and a structured go-to-market approach, the subsidiary secured enterprise design partners and created a strategy that puts it on course to achieve a $1 billion total enterprise value within five years.
In another case, a major telecom provider used synthetic customers to break into underpenetrated value-first segments without cannibalizing its premium brand. By pairing a synthetic capability with traditional research, the company tested features, pricing, and promotion options to pinpoint optimal launch strategies.
The future of innovation won’t be driven by AI alone, but by those who know when to let it lead and when to take the wheel. True breakthroughs will come from blending machine intelligence with the irreplaceable messiness of human creativity.