Skip to Content
  • Offices

    Offices

    North & Latin America
    • Atlanta
    • Austin
    • Bogota
    • Boston
    • Buenos Aires
    • Chicago
    • Dallas
    • Denver
    • Houston
    • Los Angeles
    • Mexico City
    • Minneapolis
    • Monterrey
    • Montreal
    • New York
    • Rio de Janeiro
    • San Francisco
    • Santiago
    • São Paulo
    • Seattle
    • Silicon Valley
    • Toronto
    • Washington, DC
    Europe & Africa
    • Amsterdam
    • Athens
    • Berlin
    • Brussels
    • Copenhagen
    • Dusseldorf
    • Frankfurt
    • Helsinki
    • Istanbul
    • Johannesburg
    • Kyiv
    • Lisbon
    • London
    • Madrid
    • Milan
    • Munich
    • Oslo
    • Paris
    • Rome
    • Stockholm
    • Vienna
    • Warsaw
    • Zurich
    Middle East
    • Doha
    • Dubai
    • Riyadh
    Asia & Australia
    • Bangkok
    • Beijing
    • Bengaluru
    • Brisbane
    • Ho Chi Minh City
    • Hong Kong
    • Jakarta
    • Kuala Lumpur
    • Manila
    • Melbourne
    • Mumbai
    • New Delhi
    • Perth
    • Seoul
    • Shanghai
    • Singapore
    • Sydney
    • Tokyo
    See all offices
  • Alumni
  • Media Center
  • Subscribe
  • Contact
  • Global | English

    Select your region and language

    Global
    • Global (English)
    North & Latin America
    • Brazil (Português)
    • Argentina (Español)
    • Canada (Français)
    • Chile (Español)
    • Colombia (Español)
    Europe, Middle East, & Africa
    • France (Français)
    • DACH Region (Deutsch)
    • Italy (Italiano)
    • Spain (Español)
    • Greece (Elliniká)
    Asia & Australia
    • China (中文版)
    • Korea (한국어)
    • Japan (日本語)
  • Saved items (0)
    Saved items (0)

    You have no saved items.

    Bookmark content that interests you and it will be saved here for you to read or share later.

    Explore Bain Insights
  • Industries
    Main menu

    Industries

    • Aerospace & Defense
    • Agribusiness
    • Chemicals
    • Construction & Infrastructure
    • Consumer Products
    • Financial Services
    • Healthcare & Life Sciences
    • Industrial Machinery & Equipment
    • Media & Entertainment
      Industries
      Media & Entertainment
      • Media Lab
    • Metals
    • Mining
    • Oil & Gas
    • Paper & Packaging
    • Private Equity
      Industries
      Private Equity
      • Due Diligence
      • Exit Planning
      • Firm Strategy & Operations
      • Portfolio Value Creation
    • Social Impact
    • Retail
    • Technology
    • Telecommunications
      Industries
      Telecommunications
      • Capital Expenditure
      • Telco Digital Transformation
    • Transportation
    • Travel & Leisure
    • Utilities & Renewables
  • Consulting Services
    Main menu

    Consulting Services

    • Customer Experience
    • Sustainability
    • Innovation
    • M&A
    • Operations
    • People & Organization
    • Private Equity
    • Sales & Marketing
    • Strategy
    • AI, Insights, and Solutions
    • Technology
    • Transformation
  • Digital
  • Insights
    Main menu

    Insights

    • Industry Insights
    • Services Insights
    • Bain Books
    • Webinars
    • Bain Futures
    View all Insights
    Featured topics
    • Tariff Response
    • Artificial Intelligence
    • Thriving in Uncertainty
    • Executive Conversations
    • Macro Trends
    • M&A Report
    • Healthcare Private Equity Report
    • Paper & Packaging Report
    • Technology Report
    • CEO's Guide to Sustainability
    • CEO Insights
    • CFO Insights
    • COO Insights
    • CIO Insights
    • CMO Insights
    View all featured topics
  • About
    Main menu

    About

    • What We Do
    • What We Believe
    • Our People & Leadership
    • Client Results
    • Awards & Recognition
    • Global Affiliations
    Further: Our global responsibility
    • Sustainability
    • Social Impact
    • World Economic Forum
    Learn more about Further
  • Careers
    Main menu

    Careers

    • Work with Us
      Careers
      Work with Us
      • Find Your Place
      • Our Work Areas
      • Integrated Teams
      • Students
      • Internships & Programs
      • Recruiting Events
    • Life at Bain
      Careers
      Life at Bain
      • Blog: Inside Bain
      • Career Stories
      • Our People
      • Where We Work
      • Supporting Your Growth
      • Affinity Groups
      • Benefits
    • Impact Stories
    • Hiring Process
      Careers
      Hiring Process
      • What to Expect
      • Interviewing
    FIND JOBS
  • Offices
    Main menu

    Offices

    • North & Latin America
      Offices
      North & Latin America
      • Atlanta
      • Austin
      • Bogota
      • Boston
      • Buenos Aires
      • Chicago
      • Dallas
      • Denver
      • Houston
      • Los Angeles
      • Mexico City
      • Minneapolis
      • Monterrey
      • Montreal
      • New York
      • Rio de Janeiro
      • San Francisco
      • Santiago
      • São Paulo
      • Seattle
      • Silicon Valley
      • Toronto
      • Washington, DC
    • Europe & Africa
      Offices
      Europe & Africa
      • Amsterdam
      • Athens
      • Berlin
      • Brussels
      • Copenhagen
      • Dusseldorf
      • Frankfurt
      • Helsinki
      • Istanbul
      • Johannesburg
      • Kyiv
      • Lisbon
      • London
      • Madrid
      • Milan
      • Munich
      • Oslo
      • Paris
      • Rome
      • Stockholm
      • Vienna
      • Warsaw
      • Zurich
    • Middle East
      Offices
      Middle East
      • Doha
      • Dubai
      • Riyadh
    • Asia & Australia
      Offices
      Asia & Australia
      • Bangkok
      • Beijing
      • Bengaluru
      • Brisbane
      • Ho Chi Minh City
      • Hong Kong
      • Jakarta
      • Kuala Lumpur
      • Manila
      • Melbourne
      • Mumbai
      • New Delhi
      • Perth
      • Seoul
      • Shanghai
      • Singapore
      • Sydney
      • Tokyo
    See all offices
  • Alumni
  • Media Center
  • Subscribe
  • Contact
  • Global | English
    Main menu

    Select your region and language

    • Global
      Select your region and language
      Global
      • Global (English)
    • North & Latin America
      Select your region and language
      North & Latin America
      • Brazil (Português)
      • Argentina (Español)
      • Canada (Français)
      • Chile (Español)
      • Colombia (Español)
    • Europe, Middle East, & Africa
      Select your region and language
      Europe, Middle East, & Africa
      • France (Français)
      • DACH Region (Deutsch)
      • Italy (Italiano)
      • Spain (Español)
      • Greece (Elliniká)
    • Asia & Australia
      Select your region and language
      Asia & Australia
      • China (中文版)
      • Korea (한국어)
      • Japan (日本語)
  • Saved items  (0)
    Main menu
    Saved items (0)

    You have no saved items.

    Bookmark content that interests you and it will be saved here for you to read or share later.

    Explore Bain Insights
  • Industries
    • Industries

      • Aerospace & Defense
      • Agribusiness
      • Chemicals
      • Construction & Infrastructure
      • Consumer Products
      • Financial Services
      • Healthcare & Life Sciences
      • Industrial Machinery & Equipment
      • Media & Entertainment
      • Metals
      • Mining
      • Oil & Gas
      • Paper & Packaging
      • Private Equity
      • Social Impact
      • Retail
      • Technology
      • Telecommunications
      • Transportation
      • Travel & Leisure
      • Utilities & Renewables
  • Consulting Services
    • Consulting Services

      • Customer Experience
      • Sustainability
      • Innovation
      • M&A
      • Operations
      • People & Organization
      • Private Equity
      • Sales & Marketing
      • Strategy
      • AI, Insights, and Solutions
      • Technology
      • Transformation
  • Digital
  • Insights
    • Insights

      • Industry Insights
      • Services Insights
      • Bain Books
      • Webinars
      • Bain Futures
      View all Insights
      Featured topics
      • Tariff Response
      • Artificial Intelligence
      • Thriving in Uncertainty
      • Executive Conversations
      • Macro Trends
      • M&A Report
      • Healthcare Private Equity Report
      • Paper & Packaging Report
      • Technology Report
      • CEO's Guide to Sustainability
      • CEO Insights
      • CFO Insights
      • COO Insights
      • CIO Insights
      • CMO Insights
      View all featured topics
  • About
    • About

      • What We Do
      • What We Believe
      • Our People & Leadership
      • Client Results
      • Awards & Recognition
      • Global Affiliations
      Further: Our global responsibility
      • Sustainability
      • Social Impact
      • World Economic Forum
      Learn more about Further
  • Careers
    Popular Searches
    • Agile
    • Digital
    • Strategy
    Your Previous Searches
      Recently Visited Pages

      Content added to saved items

      Saved items (0)

      Removed from saved items

      Saved items (0)

      Mint

      Recessions can present rare M&A opportunities

      Recessions can present rare M&A opportunities

      For companies that are relatively strong strategically and financially, recessions present rare opportunities to improve their competitive position through acquisitions and partnerships.

      By Sri Rajan and David Harding

      • min read

      Article

      Recessions can present rare M&A opportunities
      en

      For many executives, doing a deal in a downturn seems risky and impractical. Credit markets aren't functioning normally, so financing is difficult. Equity markets are depressed, so acquirers and targets alike are wary of stockbased transactions.

      That's why the number and value of deals tend to plummet during and immediately after a recession. For example, aggregate deal value in post-recession 2002 was less than half of what it was four years earlier.

      The current worldwide recession may cause a sharper fall.

      But for companies that are relatively strong strategically and financially, recessions present rare opportunities to improve their competitive position through acquisitions and partnerships.

      Our analysis of around 24,000 transactions between 1996 and 2006 shows that acquisitions completed during and right after the last recession (2001–02) generated almost triple the excess returns of acquisitions made during the preceding boom years.

      The most important objective of mergers and acquisitions (M&As) is to help execute a company's strategy that in a downturn will almost certainly focus on strengthening the core business.

      In a recession, M&A also serves another purpose: creating strategic options. The post-recession landscape will be very different and no one really knows how supply chains may change, what the financial system will look like, or to what degree consumers have changed their spending patterns.

      As companies ride out the storm, they need to position themselves to emerge from the downturn both strong and flexible. The right acquisitions can help.

      Some have the resources to expand their strategic options through acquisitions, despite the downturn. For example, Pfizer Inc.'s agreement to acquire Wyeth Ltd buys some time for Pfizer as patents expire on several of its leading medicines.

      For companies with resources and the will to undertake deals, there are three necessary ingredients for success: an investment thesis tailored to a company's strategic priority, the target list, and a well-prepared team ready to act quickly.

      One key to avoiding disastrous acquisitions is to have a clear investment thesis—a statement that articulates why buying a business will make your company more valuable.

      Many companies fail to understand the importance of an investment thesis, even in good times. In one survey of acquirers, we found about 80% of successful transactions were based on a clear investment thesis. For failed deals, the proportion was about 40%.

      To boost the odds of success, each transaction needs to strengthen a company's basis of competition, which could be its cost position, brand strength or customer loyalty. Those imperatives don't change whether the economy is booming or slumping. For example, Tata Consultancy Services Ltd, India's top software services exporter, has made a host of successful acquisitions in the past eight years, during strong and weak economic conditions, boosting the company's competitive position.

      For Lafarge SA, the world's largest cement company, the purchase of India's L&T Concrete last year pushed it into leadership position in India's ready-mix concrete market, which has strong long-term growth potential. The deal was also in sync with Lafarge's strategy of increasing its presence in emerging markets.

      Too often, an acquisition is inbound—when someone sends over an idea or a deal book. If the deal looks interesting after a preliminary review, a valuation model is constructed and financial and legal due diligence starts.

      This approach delivers mixed results at best. If an acquisition team is reacting rather than being proactive, it's likely to pursue deals with prices below the valuation model, deals with limited up side and big downside, and deals whose numbers can be massaged to meet corporate hurdle rates.

      The team may turn down transactions that appear too expensive but are really not in terms of their long-term strategic benefits. It will also fail to uncover opportunities it might have turned up on its own if it had followed a strategic road map.

      In contrast, seasoned deal makers like Cintas Corp., a business services company, know their basis of competition and are always thinking about the kinds of deals they should be pursuing. Their M&A teams work with individuals close to the ground in line organizations to create a pipeline of priority targets, each with a customized investment thesis.

      They cultivate a relationship with each target so that they can quickly get to the table, sometimes before the For Sale sign goes up.

      Savvy acquirers are likely to have months or years invested in a prospective deal. Because they know what they want to achieve through the acquisition, they're often willing to pay a premium or act faster than rivals. Acquisitions on this basis helped Cintas sustain sales growth for 39 consecutive years till May 2008. The acquisitions continue. Last month, as the downturn roiled the US and German economies, Cintas bought Aktenmühle GmbH, a German document destruction business.

      Turbulence brings deal making opportunities, but obstacles presented by a downturn can stall even a well-prepared company. Focusing on three practices can guide companies.

      First, ratchet up the diligence. Many deals may turn out to be less attractive than acquirers initially believe.

      Corporate buyers seeking targets in the same industry may conduct inadequate diligence because executives believe they know the industry. They often conduct a cursory regulatory review without asking the big strategic questions-and then are unpleasantly surprised.

      Second, tailor your list of targets to the new valuations.

      Many companies are relatively cheap in a downturn because their shares are at low levels.

      But some companies are cheap for good reason and the adage that you get what you pay for often applies.

      Third, update the target list to reflect the changing environment. The future business climate is likely to be less freewheeling, more tightly regulated, less leveraged and more risk averse. Once-successful business models may no longer work. One-time market leaders may be permanently compromised. Yet you may want to add businesses that you think are likely to thrive in a different environment. A clear investment thesis reflecting the new reality is key.

      Can a company's portfolio emerge stronger from the current economic hurricane? In many cases, yes, as long as deals are based on sound assessment of the new conditions.

      Don't assume things will return to normal. Don't assume conventional M&As are your only options; scarce capital is likely to make joint ventures and alliances increasingly popular.

      Above all, don't use deals to reshape your company's competitive foundation. Use them instead to strengthen it, to do what you do better. Acting on these principles is the first step towards M&A success, in turbulence or calm weather.

      Sri Rajan is a partner with Bain and Co. and leads the M&A and Private Equity practices in India. David Harding is co-head of Bain's Global M&A practice. This is the fourth in a series adapted from the forthcoming book Winning in Turbulence by Bain and Co.

      Bain Book

      Winning in Turbulence

      Learn more about how companies can navigate through turbulent times and succeed as the economy improves.

      Authors
      • Headshot of David Harding
        David Harding
        Advisory Partner, Boston
      Contact us
      Related Consulting Services
      • Mergers and Acquisitions
      How We Can Help
      • Joint Ventures and Alliances
      • M&A Capability
      Joint Ventures and Alliances
      Where the Deals Are: 2025’s Top M&A Markets

      Explore our interactive map for strategic M&A data and key takeaways from selected markets around the world.

      Read More
      Mergers and Acquisitions
      Media M&A

      AI and other tech tools can boost bidding confidence in this highly competitive environment.

      Read More
      Joint Ventures and Alliances
      Pharmaceuticals M&A

      Dealmaking in 2026 may redefine what it means to buy growth.

      Read More
      M&A Capability
      Consumer Products M&A

      In their quest for profitable growth, more companies are divesting brands or buying insurgents.

      Read More
      Joint Ventures and Alliances
      Overseas Ambition: Asia-Pacific Consumer Products Companies Use M&A to Accelerate Growth

      A decade of M&A activity among Asia-Pacific’s 50 largest consumer products companies offers takeaways for firms looking to grow.

      Read More
      Published in April 2009
      Tags
      • Joint Ventures and Alliances
      • M&A Capability
      • Mergers and Acquisitions

      How We've Helped Clients

      Accelerated Performance Transformation An EPC Leader Transforms Itself Amid Intense Volatility

      Read case study

      Mergers and Acquisitions A bank and a grocer build a fruitful alliance

      Read case study

      Mergers and Acquisitions Post-merger cultural issues jeopardize a deal

      Read case study

      Ready to talk?

      We work with ambitious leaders who want to define the future, not hide from it. Together, we achieve extraordinary outcomes.

      Stay ahead in a rapidly changing world. Subscribe to Bain Insights, our monthly look at the critical issues facing global businesses.

      *I have read and understand Bain’s Privacy Notice.

      Please read and agree to the Privacy Policy.
      Bain & Company
      Contact us Sustainability Accessibility Terms of use Privacy Modern Slavery Act Statement Cookie Policy Sitemap Log In

      © 1996-2026 Bain & Company, Inc.

      Contact Bain

      How can we help you?

      • Business inquiry
      • Career information
      • Press relations
      • Partnership request
      • Speaker request
      See all offices