Skip to Content
  • Uffici

    Uffici

    Nord e Sud America
    • Atlanta
    • Austin
    • Bogota
    • Boston
    • Buenos Aires
    • Chicago
    • Dallas
    • Denver
    • Houston
    • Los Angeles
    • Mexico City
    • Minneapolis
    • Monterrey
    • Montreal
    • New York
    • Rio de Janeiro
    • San Francisco
    • Santiago
    • São Paulo
    • Seattle
    • Silicon Valley
    • Toronto
    • Washington, DC
    Europa, Medio Oriente e Africa
    • Amsterdam
    • Athens
    • Berlin
    • Brussels
    • Copenhagen
    • Doha
    • Dubai
    • Dusseldorf
    • Frankfurt
    • Helsinki
    • Istanbul
    • Johannesburg
    • Kyiv
    • Lisbon
    • London
    • Madrid
    • Milan
    • Munich
    • Oslo
    • Paris
    • Riyadh
    • Rome
    • Stockholm
    • Vienna
    • Warsaw
    • Zurich
    Asia e Australia
    • Bangkok
    • Beijing
    • Bengaluru
    • Brisbane
    • Ho Chi Minh City
    • Hong Kong
    • Jakarta
    • Kuala Lumpur
    • Manila
    • Melbourne
    • Mumbai
    • New Delhi
    • Perth
    • Seoul
    • Shanghai
    • Singapore
    • Sydney
    • Tokyo
    Guarda tutti gli uffici
  • Alumni
  • Media Center
  • Iscriviti
  • Contattaci
  • Italy | Italiano

    Seleziona il tuo Paese e la tua lingua

    Global
    • Global (English)
    Nord e Sud America
    • Brazil (Português)
    • Argentina (Español)
    • Canada (Français)
    • Chile (Español)
    • Colombia (Español)
    Europa, Medio Oriente e Africa
    • France (Français)
    • DACH Region (Deutsch)
    • Italy (Italiano)
    • Spain (Español)
    • Greece (Elliniká)
    Asia e Australia
    • China (中文版)
    • Korea (한국어)
    • Japan (日本語)
  • Saved items (0)
    Saved items (0)

    You have no saved items.

    Contrassegna il contenuto che ti interessa e verrà salvato qui. Potrai leggerlo o condividerlo in seguito.

    Explore Bain Insights
  • Settori
    Menu principale

    Settori

    • Aerospazio e Difesa
    • Agribusiness
    • Chimica
    • Infrastrutture e Costruzioni
    • Beni di Largo Consumo
    • Servizi Finanziari
    • Sanità
    • Macchinari Industriali
    • Media & Intrattenimento
    • Industria Metallurgica
    • Industria Mineraria
    • Petrolio e Gas
    • Industria Cartaria e Packaging
    • Private Equity
    • Settore Sociale & Pubblico
    • Retail
    • Tecnologia
    • Telecomunicazioni
    • Compagnie Aeree & Trasporti
    • Viaggi e Svago
    • Utility e Rinnovabili
  • Servizi di Consulenza
    Menu principale

    Servizi di Consulenza

    • Customer Experience
    • ESG
    • Innovation
    • M&A and Divestitures
    • Operation
    • People & Organization
    • Private Equity
    • Sales & Marketing
    • Strategia
    • IA, Approfondimenti e Soluzioni
    • Tecnologia
    • Trasformazione
  • Digital
  • Tematiche
  • Informazioni su Bain
    Menu principale

    Informazioni su Bain

    • Che Cosa Facciamo
    • Quello in Cui Crediamo
    • Le Nostre Persone e la Leadership
    • Risultati
    • Premi e Riconoscimenti
    • Organizzazioni Globali
    Further: Our global responsibility
    • Diversità e Inclusione
    • Social Impact
    • Sustainability
    • World Economic Forum
    Learn more about Further
  • Careers
    Menu principale

    Careers

    • Work with Us
      Careers
      Work with Us
      • Find Your Place
      • Our Work Areas
      • Integrated Teams
      • Students
      • Internships & Programs
      • Recruiting Events
    • Life at Bain
      Careers
      Life at Bain
      • Blog: Inside Bain
      • Career Stories
      • Our People
      • Where We Work
      • Supporting Your Growth
      • Affinity Groups
      • Benefits
    • Impact Stories
    • Hiring Process
      Careers
      Hiring Process
      • What to Expect
      • Interviewing
    FIND JOBS
  • Uffici
    Menu principale

    Uffici

    • Nord e Sud America
      Uffici
      Nord e Sud America
      • Atlanta
      • Austin
      • Bogota
      • Boston
      • Buenos Aires
      • Chicago
      • Dallas
      • Denver
      • Houston
      • Los Angeles
      • Mexico City
      • Minneapolis
      • Monterrey
      • Montreal
      • New York
      • Rio de Janeiro
      • San Francisco
      • Santiago
      • São Paulo
      • Seattle
      • Silicon Valley
      • Toronto
      • Washington, DC
    • Europa, Medio Oriente e Africa
      Uffici
      Europa, Medio Oriente e Africa
      • Amsterdam
      • Athens
      • Berlin
      • Brussels
      • Copenhagen
      • Doha
      • Dubai
      • Dusseldorf
      • Frankfurt
      • Helsinki
      • Istanbul
      • Johannesburg
      • Kyiv
      • Lisbon
      • London
      • Madrid
      • Milan
      • Munich
      • Oslo
      • Paris
      • Riyadh
      • Rome
      • Stockholm
      • Vienna
      • Warsaw
      • Zurich
    • Asia e Australia
      Uffici
      Asia e Australia
      • Bangkok
      • Beijing
      • Bengaluru
      • Brisbane
      • Ho Chi Minh City
      • Hong Kong
      • Jakarta
      • Kuala Lumpur
      • Manila
      • Melbourne
      • Mumbai
      • New Delhi
      • Perth
      • Seoul
      • Shanghai
      • Singapore
      • Sydney
      • Tokyo
    Guarda tutti gli uffici
  • Alumni
  • Media Center
  • Iscriviti
  • Contattaci
  • Italy | Italiano
    Menu principale

    Seleziona il tuo Paese e la tua lingua

    • Global
      Seleziona il tuo Paese e la tua lingua
      Global
      • Global (English)
    • Nord e Sud America
      Seleziona il tuo Paese e la tua lingua
      Nord e Sud America
      • Brazil (Português)
      • Argentina (Español)
      • Canada (Français)
      • Chile (Español)
      • Colombia (Español)
    • Europa, Medio Oriente e Africa
      Seleziona il tuo Paese e la tua lingua
      Europa, Medio Oriente e Africa
      • France (Français)
      • DACH Region (Deutsch)
      • Italy (Italiano)
      • Spain (Español)
      • Greece (Elliniká)
    • Asia e Australia
      Seleziona il tuo Paese e la tua lingua
      Asia e Australia
      • China (中文版)
      • Korea (한국어)
      • Japan (日本語)
  • Saved items  (0)
    Menu principale
    Saved items (0)

    You have no saved items.

    Contrassegna il contenuto che ti interessa e verrà salvato qui. Potrai leggerlo o condividerlo in seguito.

    Explore Bain Insights
  • Settori
    • Settori

      • Aerospazio e Difesa
      • Agribusiness
      • Chimica
      • Infrastrutture e Costruzioni
      • Beni di Largo Consumo
      • Servizi Finanziari
      • Sanità
      • Macchinari Industriali
      • Media & Intrattenimento
      • Industria Metallurgica
      • Industria Mineraria
      • Petrolio e Gas
      • Industria Cartaria e Packaging
      • Private Equity
      • Settore Sociale & Pubblico
      • Retail
      • Tecnologia
      • Telecomunicazioni
      • Compagnie Aeree & Trasporti
      • Viaggi e Svago
      • Utility e Rinnovabili
  • Servizi di Consulenza
    • Servizi di Consulenza

      • Customer Experience
      • ESG
      • Innovation
      • M&A and Divestitures
      • Operation
      • People & Organization
      • Private Equity
      • Sales & Marketing
      • Strategia
      • IA, Approfondimenti e Soluzioni
      • Tecnologia
      • Trasformazione
  • Digital
  • Tematiche
  • Informazioni su Bain
    • Informazioni su Bain

      • Che Cosa Facciamo
      • Quello in Cui Crediamo
      • Le Nostre Persone e la Leadership
      • Risultati
      • Premi e Riconoscimenti
      • Organizzazioni Globali
      Further: Our global responsibility
      • Diversità e Inclusione
      • Social Impact
      • Sustainability
      • World Economic Forum
      Learn more about Further
  • Careers
    Ricerche più popolari
    • Agile
    • Digitale
    • Strategia
    La tue ricerche precedenti
      Pagine visitate

      Content added to saved items

      Saved items (0)

      Removed from saved items

      Saved items (0)

      CFO.com

      Should You Rethink Assumptions About M&A Valuations?

      Should You Rethink Assumptions About M&A Valuations?

      Can't get the math to work on a prospective deal? You might need to reassess your hurdle rate.

      Di Michael Robbins and Hubert Shen

      • Tempo di lettura min.

      Article

      Should You Rethink Assumptions About M&A Valuations?
      en

      This article originally appeared in CFO.com.

      Global mergers and acquisitions have reached high levels this year. Yet many chief financial officers, treasurers, and other executives assessing M&A opportunities continue to remark, “I just can’t make this deal pencil out.”

      For every buyer, it seems, another dozen potential buyers have been walking away because their valuation models show they will not earn adequate returns. They might have strong balance sheets, abundant cash, and prospective targets that could add strategic value, yet many still choose to sit on the sidelines in the interest of being prudent with their shareholders’ capital.

      This has led cautious companies into a no-growth trap: They wind up holding on to their cash, or returning it to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. For CFOs discarding potential deals, should they simply wait for better valuations and in the meantime continue returning capital to shareholders?

      Some companies are opting for an alternative. They are reassessing internal hurdle rates — the minimum rate of return they will accept — so that they accurately capture current capital markets conditions. Reassessing hurdle rates effectively expands the universe of attractive investment opportunities, whether they be M&A or organic.

      Two factors account for higher-than-necessary hurdle rates. One is companies’ reluctance to lower hurdle rates as much as declines in their weighted average cost of capital. (The WACC is what a company expects to pay its creditors and investors, on average, for their stake in the company.) The other is the acquisition premium placed on potential deals to compensate for their risk.

      Our analysis shows that the WACC of S&P 500 companies has steadily decreased from an average 10% in 2010 to 8% in 2014. However, many CFOs have not lowered their internal investment hurdle rates as quickly or as far. Believing that interest rates must rise again soon, they have adopted a more conservative approach.

      In addition, the risk premium they give to acquisitions (typically 200 to 300 basis points) and their general conservatism toward WACC (typically 50 to 100 basis points) have not changed, further building in conservatism on a lower base.

      Interest Rates Will Remain Low

      If deals are not penciling out because potential buyers cannot get comfortable with the growth projections sellers have embedded into the price, then that may be a reasonable constraint. On the other hand, if the conservatism stems from worry that long-term interest rates will soon rise, that’s another matter.

      There is evidence that long-term interest rates will remain low for awhile, even as the U.S. Federal Reserve begins the process of normalizing monetary policy. For one thing, capital superabundance continues to prevail, with about $600 trillion in global financial assets available for investment. The law of supply and demand means that the cost of capital will likely remain low. It’s also worth noting that the current level of rates is close to the long-term average over the past two centuries.

      A prolonged period of capital surplus likely will be characterized by persistent low interest rates and thin real rates of return. The implication for executives hunting for acceptable deals: Reevaluate internal investment hurdle rates and portfolio investment return targets accordingly. Without these adjustments, they may end up parking capital on the sidelines indefinitely while waiting for higher-return opportunities that will not materialize.

      It’s true that valuation multiples in today’s environment still seem rich by recent historical measures. Yet investors cannot invest in opportunities of the past, and very few can accurately time the valuation of assets in the market. They must make capital allocation decisions and trade-offs against the only options presently available.

      Executives who still worry about timing this market at high valuations could consider a series of smaller investments or acquisitions over time, rather than one big acquisition that may be more susceptible to timing risk. Bain’s analysis shows that frequency and materiality both matter. Building M&A capabilities with a series of smaller acquisitions often leads to better returns over time. In addition, the more a company’s market capitalization comes from its acquisitions, the better its performance is likely to be.

      More broadly, the most successful acquirers think about their portfolio of assets for the long term. They understand that strategic investments complementing the company’s core business can unlock more value than deals that simply pencil out in the near term. If you’re finding deals that are attractive but too expensive, a reevaluation just might lead to a different conclusion.

      Michael Robbins, a Washington, DC-based partner with Bain & Company, is a leader of the firm’s corporate finance practice in the Americas. Hubert Shen is a principal with the practice and is based in Los Angeles.

      Autori
      • Headshot of Michael Robbins
        Michael Robbins
        Partner, Washington, DC
      • Headshot of Hubert Shen
        Hubert Shen
        Partner, Los Angeles
      Contattaci
      Servizi di consulenza collegati
      • Mergers and Acquisitions
      Mergers and Acquisitions
      Rethinking M&A Valuation Assumptions

      Why the assumptions behind many M&A models may be too onerous.

      Leggi di più
      Mergers and Acquisitions
      Takeaways from Bain's 2026 M&A Report

      In this webinar recording, Bain's Suzanne Kumar, Dale Stafford, and Kai Grass share key trends shaping the deal landscape.

      Leggi di più
      Mergers and Acquisitions
      What Agency Consolidation Means for CMOs

      As agency holding companies get bigger and deeper, CMOs must rethink ownership, integration, and how to stay in control.

      Leggi di più
      Mergers and Acquisitions
      Defense M&A

      Bold moves will determine the winners as a continent rearms.

      Leggi di più
      Mergers and Acquisitions
      Building Products M&A

      Why more companies are acquiring for scope.

      Leggi di più
      First published in novembre 2015
      Tags
      • Mergers and Acquisitions

      Come abbiamo aiutato i nostri clienti

      Post-merger cultural issues jeopardize a deal

      Leggi un caso di studio

      A bank and a grocer build a fruitful alliance

      Leggi un caso di studio

      Forecast backs a bet on shale services

      Leggi un caso di studio

      Vuoi continuare la conversazione?

      Aiutiamo i leader globali e le loro aziende ad affrontare problemi e a cogliere le opportunità. Sosteniamo cambiamenti e otteniamo risultati duraturi.

      Bain Insights. Le nostre idee e punti di vista sulle tematiche che le aziende globali affrontano ogni giorno, arrivano nella tua email tutti i mesi.

      *Ho letto l'Informativa sulla Privacy e accetto i termini e le condizioni.

      Si prega di leggere e accettare l’Informativa sulla Privacy
      Bain & Company
      Contattaci Sustainability Accessibility Condizioni d’uso Privacy Cookie Policy Sitemap Log In

      © 1996-2026 Bain & Company, Inc.

      Contatta Bain

      Come posso aiutarti?

      • Business inquiry
      • Career information
      • Press relations
      • Partnership request
      • Speaker request
      Guarda tutti gli uffici