Skip to Content
  • Standorte

    Standorte

    North & Latin America
    • Atlanta
    • Austin
    • Bogota
    • Boston
    • Buenos Aires
    • Chicago
    • Dallas
    • Denver
    • Houston
    • Lisbon
    • Los Angeles
    • Mexico City
    • Minneapolis
    • Monterrey
    • Montreal
    • New York
    • Rio de Janeiro
    • San Francisco
    • Santiago
    • São Paulo
    • Seattle
    • Silicon Valley
    • Toronto
    • Washington, DC
    Europe & Africa
    • Amsterdam
    • Athens
    • Berlin
    • Brussels
    • Copenhagen
    • Düsseldorf
    • Frankfurt
    • Helsinki
    • Istanbul
    • Johannesburg
    • Kyiv
    • Lisbon
    • London
    • Madrid
    • Milan
    • München
    • Oslo
    • Paris
    • Rome
    • Stockholm
    • Warsaw
    • Wien
    • Zürich
    Middle East
    • Doha
    • Dubai
    • Riyadh
    Asia & Australia
    • Bangkok
    • Beijing
    • Bengaluru
    • Brisbane
    • Ho Chi Minh City
    • Hong Kong
    • Jakarta
    • Kuala Lumpur
    • Manila
    • Melbourne
    • Mumbai
    • New Delhi
    • Perth
    • Seoul
    • Shanghai
    • Singapore
    • Sydney
    • Tokyo
    Alle Standorte Anzeigen
  • Alumni
  • Presse
  • Newsletter
  • Kontakt
  • DACH-Region | Deutsch

    Wählen Sie Ihre Region und Sprache

    Global
    • Global (English)
    North & Latin America
    • Brazil (Português)
    • Argentina (Español)
    • Canada (Français)
    • Chile (Español)
    • Colombia (Español)
    Europe, Middle East, & Africa
    • France (Français)
    • DACH-Region (Deutsch)
    • Italy (Italiano)
    • Spain (Español)
    • Greece (Elliniká)
    Asia & Australia
    • China (中文版)
    • Korea (한국어)
    • Japan (日本語)
  • Saved items (0)
    Saved items (0)

    You have no saved items.

    Inhalte, für die Sie sich interessieren, werden hier gespeichert und können später gelesen oder weitergeleitet werden.

    Explore Bain Insights
  • Branchenkompetenzen
    Hauptmenü

    Branchenkompetenzen

    • Luft- und Raumfahrt, Verteidigung
    • Agrarwirtschaft
    • Chemieindustrie
    • Infrastruktur und Bauwirtschaft
    • Konsumgüter
    • Finanzdienstleistungen
    • Gesundheitswesen
    • Maschinen- und Anlagenbau
    • Medienwirtschaft
    • Metallindustrie
    • Bergbau
    • Öl und Gas
    • Papier- und Verpackungsindustrie
    • Private Equity
      Branchenkompetenzen
      Private Equity
      • Due Diligence
      • Exit Planning
      • Firm Strategy & Operations
      • Portfolio Value Creation
    • Öffentlicher Sektor und Sozialwesen
    • Einzelhandel
    • Technologie
    • Telekommunikation
    • Transportwesen
    • Reise- und Freizeitbranche
    • Versorgung und erneuerbare Energien
  • Managementkompetenzen
    Hauptmenü

    Managementkompetenzen

    • Customer Experience
    • ESG
    • Innovation
    • M&A
    • Operations
    • People & Organization
    • Private Equity
    • Sales & Marketing
    • Strategie
    • KI, Einblicke und Lösungen
    • Technologie
    • Transformation
  • Digital
  • Publikationen
    Hauptmenü

    Publikationen

    • Branchenthemen
    • Managementthemen
    • Bain-Bücher
    Alle Publikationen
    Ausgewählte Themen
    • Resilienz in der globalen Krise
    • M&A Report
    • Private Equity Podcast
    • Midyear Private Equity Report
    • Agile
    • Engineering Report
    • Digital Transformation
    • Elements of Value®
    • Firm of the Future
    • Nachhaltigkeitsstudie
    • Macro Trends
    • Future of Consumption
    • Weltwirtschaftsforum (WEF)
  • Über uns
    Hauptmenü

    Über uns

    • Was wir bieten
    • Unser Ansatz
    • Unser Team
    • Game Changer Award
    • Female Allstar Board
    • Messbare Ergebnisse (EN)
    • Auszeichnungen
    • Globale Partnerschaften
    • The Mission
    Further: Our global responsibility
    • Vielfalt & Chancengleichheit
    • Soziale Verantwortung
    • Sustainability
    Erfahren Sie mehr zu "Further"
  • Karriere
    Hauptmenü

    Karriere

    • Dein Einstieg
      Karriere
      Dein Einstieg
      • Find Your Place
      • Unsere Arbeitsbereiche
      • Unsere Teams
      • Angebote für Studierende
      • Praktika & Programme
      • Recruiting-Events
    • Arbeiten bei Bain
      Karriere
      Arbeiten bei Bain
      • Blog: Inside Bain
      • Karriere Stories
      • Unsere Bainies
      • Office-Standorte
      • Weiterentwicklung
      • Affinity Groups
      • Deine Benefits
    • Impact Stories
    • Deine Bewerbung
      Karriere
      Deine Bewerbung
      • Das erwartet dich
      • Der Interviewprozess
    FIND JOBS
  • Standorte
    Hauptmenü

    Standorte

    • North & Latin America
      Standorte
      North & Latin America
      • Atlanta
      • Austin
      • Bogota
      • Boston
      • Buenos Aires
      • Chicago
      • Dallas
      • Denver
      • Houston
      • Lisbon
      • Los Angeles
      • Mexico City
      • Minneapolis
      • Monterrey
      • Montreal
      • New York
      • Rio de Janeiro
      • San Francisco
      • Santiago
      • São Paulo
      • Seattle
      • Silicon Valley
      • Toronto
      • Washington, DC
    • Europe & Africa
      Standorte
      Europe & Africa
      • Amsterdam
      • Athens
      • Berlin
      • Brussels
      • Copenhagen
      • Düsseldorf
      • Frankfurt
      • Helsinki
      • Istanbul
      • Johannesburg
      • Kyiv
      • Lisbon
      • London
      • Madrid
      • Milan
      • München
      • Oslo
      • Paris
      • Rome
      • Stockholm
      • Warsaw
      • Wien
      • Zürich
    • Middle East
      Standorte
      Middle East
      • Doha
      • Dubai
      • Riyadh
    • Asia & Australia
      Standorte
      Asia & Australia
      • Bangkok
      • Beijing
      • Bengaluru
      • Brisbane
      • Ho Chi Minh City
      • Hong Kong
      • Jakarta
      • Kuala Lumpur
      • Manila
      • Melbourne
      • Mumbai
      • New Delhi
      • Perth
      • Seoul
      • Shanghai
      • Singapore
      • Sydney
      • Tokyo
    Alle Standorte Anzeigen
  • Alumni
  • Presse
  • Newsletter
  • Kontakt
  • DACH-Region | Deutsch
    Hauptmenü

    Wählen Sie Ihre Region und Sprache

    • Global
      Wählen Sie Ihre Region und Sprache
      Global
      • Global (English)
    • North & Latin America
      Wählen Sie Ihre Region und Sprache
      North & Latin America
      • Brazil (Português)
      • Argentina (Español)
      • Canada (Français)
      • Chile (Español)
      • Colombia (Español)
    • Europe, Middle East, & Africa
      Wählen Sie Ihre Region und Sprache
      Europe, Middle East, & Africa
      • France (Français)
      • DACH-Region (Deutsch)
      • Italy (Italiano)
      • Spain (Español)
      • Greece (Elliniká)
    • Asia & Australia
      Wählen Sie Ihre Region und Sprache
      Asia & Australia
      • China (中文版)
      • Korea (한국어)
      • Japan (日本語)
  • Saved items  (0)
    Hauptmenü
    Saved items (0)

    You have no saved items.

    Inhalte, für die Sie sich interessieren, werden hier gespeichert und können später gelesen oder weitergeleitet werden.

    Explore Bain Insights
  • Branchenkompetenzen
    • Branchenkompetenzen

      • Luft- und Raumfahrt, Verteidigung
      • Agrarwirtschaft
      • Chemieindustrie
      • Infrastruktur und Bauwirtschaft
      • Konsumgüter
      • Finanzdienstleistungen
      • Gesundheitswesen
      • Maschinen- und Anlagenbau
      • Medienwirtschaft
      • Metallindustrie
      • Bergbau
      • Öl und Gas
      • Papier- und Verpackungsindustrie
      • Private Equity
      • Öffentlicher Sektor und Sozialwesen
      • Einzelhandel
      • Technologie
      • Telekommunikation
      • Transportwesen
      • Reise- und Freizeitbranche
      • Versorgung und erneuerbare Energien
  • Managementkompetenzen
    • Managementkompetenzen

      • Customer Experience
      • ESG
      • Innovation
      • M&A
      • Operations
      • People & Organization
      • Private Equity
      • Sales & Marketing
      • Strategie
      • KI, Einblicke und Lösungen
      • Technologie
      • Transformation
  • Digital
  • Publikationen
    • Publikationen

      • Branchenthemen
      • Managementthemen
      • Bain-Bücher
      Alle Publikationen
      Ausgewählte Themen
      • Resilienz in der globalen Krise
      • M&A Report
      • Private Equity Podcast
      • Midyear Private Equity Report
      • Agile
      • Engineering Report
      • Digital Transformation
      • Elements of Value®
      • Firm of the Future
      • Nachhaltigkeitsstudie
      • Macro Trends
      • Future of Consumption
      • Weltwirtschaftsforum (WEF)
  • Über uns
    • Über uns

      • Was wir bieten
      • Unser Ansatz
      • Unser Team
      • Game Changer Award
      • Female Allstar Board
      • Messbare Ergebnisse (EN)
      • Auszeichnungen
      • Globale Partnerschaften
      • The Mission
      Further: Our global responsibility
      • Vielfalt & Chancengleichheit
      • Soziale Verantwortung
      • Sustainability
      Erfahren Sie mehr zu "Further"
  • Karriere
    Häufige Suchanfragen
    • Agil
    • Digital
    • Strategie
    Vorherige Suchanfragen
      Zuletzt besuchte Seiten

      Content added to saved items

      Saved items (0)

      Removed from saved items

      Saved items (0)

      WSJ.com

      Why the Exurbs Are Poised to Take Off in the Coming Years

      Why the Exurbs Are Poised to Take Off in the Coming Years

      The rise of exurbs—located 50 miles or more away from big cities—will be made possible as technology changes the cost of distance.

      Von James Allen

      • Min. Lesezeit

      Artikel

      Why the Exurbs Are Poised to Take Off in the Coming Years
      en

      This article originally appeared on WSJ.com.

      A lot of savvy economists, demographers and poll takers were stunned by the recent presidential election and the voting power of rural and suburban Americans. Threatened by globalization and technology, which have decimated millions of industrial jobs, residents in hard-hit regions made the revival of working-class jobs, especially in manufacturing, a top priority for the incoming administration.

      Will it happen? Creating those jobs and improving the economic fortunes of the middle class may depend not only on politics but also on the declining cost of distance. Research by my colleagues at Bain & Co. provides strong evidence that this gathering force of spatial economics is about to shatter some longstanding economic assumptions. It will transform urban patterns in advanced economies by enabling millions of people to move out of cities, and shake up established models of global growth, potentially positioning the U.S. and Europe for a period of sustained expansion.

      The cost of moving goods, people and information is declining, with some items already in a steep and rapid descent. The catalyst for change is an array of new platform technologies that have pushed the cost of distance to the tipping point. By 2025, spatial economics will alter the way we live and work—faster and more broadly than many can imagine.

      Advances in service robotics, 3-D printing and logistics will allow companies to operate economically at smaller scale, increasing local production and local jobs. That, in turn, will set individuals free from longstanding constraints to live and work in cities and trigger investment in exurban areas. At the same time, automation of many tasks could enable a much greater availability of goods, services, education and health care in communities far from city centers. For many middle-class families, the lure of space at lower cost with many of the amenities of urban life will be irresistible.

      Some cities will continue to grow, but migration out of cities will surge, particularly to exurbs 50 miles or more from a city center—giving rise to new micro economies where people live, work and play. By 2025, the U.S. exurban population could outstrip the urban center population. This migration already has begun: Six million Americans moved out of city centers in the past decade, according to U.S. Census Bureau data. Although some center-city population levels have held steady or even risen, their share of the population has been dropping since 1990, while the exurbs’ share has been rising.

      Bain analysis shows movement to the U.S. exurbs in the next 10 years could match Americans’ exodus to the suburbs in the 1950s and 1960s, which reached an annual peak of 8% of the population.

      To be sure, many top-tier cities will thrive and attract wealthy professionals, young adults who don’t mind crowded quarters, and empty nesters who can afford to live in amenity-rich neighborhoods. Some cities will remain important industry clusters, such as New York and London for financial services, and Silicon Valley and Boston for technology.

      But most people don’t need to work in highly specialized talent clusters. Spatial freedom will generally disperse the bulk of talent most companies need more widely than in the past, in part because communications technologies make it easier to operate with far-flung teams.

      The declining cost of distance thus has implications for where companies produce and sell and where they locate jobs. Until now, the simplest way to reduce the cost of distance has been to use less distance. Cities are dense hubs that minimize the cost of moving raw materials, labor and finished goods.

      A significant decline in the cost of distance would force millions of economic actors around the world to rethink their strategies and investments. Sophisticated logistics and the declining cost of delivery to the last mile are enabling new services and business models. Think about how rapidly the retail industry was upended by online shopping and extend that scenario across the industrial landscape.

      The coming transformation, like every period of change, will create dislocation. Some of the underlying assumptions of existing business models may no longer be valid, leaving many companies with assets stranded in the wrong locations or businesses that are obsolete. The risks will be particularly acute for industries with heavy assets in manufacturing or infrastructure industries like telecommunications, which make long-term bets on geography and location for both fixed lines and mobile towers.

      Spatial economics will hit advanced economies with full force in the coming decade, but its consequences will reverberate globally, undercutting the export-led growth model that propelled the post-WWII growth of Japan, the Asian Tigers (Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan), and most recently China. Local production will rebound in advanced economies, reducing or in some cases eliminating the advantage of pools of low-cost labor far removed from domestic markets—a sharp deviation from recent decades in which economic advantage accrued to the lowest-cost producer.

      The shift to a post-urban economy will produce new winners and losers. Some rural regions may prosper thanks to spatial economics. But regardless of trade policies, manufacturing will be increasingly automated and require fewer workers—though many remaining jobs will be better paid. Management teams can prepare for change by evaluating the risk of stranded assets, reviewing supply chains, incorporating new technologies into existing workflows, and anticipating the migration of human capital. Businesses that lead the coming transformation will adapt faster and better than those caught off guard.

      James Allen is co-leader of the global strategy practice at Bain & Co. and co-author of The Founder’s Mentality.

      Autoren
      • Headshot of James Allen
        James Allen
        Advisory Partner, London
      Kontaktieren Sie uns
      Ähnliche Beratungsangebote
      • Strategie
      Change & Implementation
      Spatial Economics: Wenn die Transportkosten sinken

      Spatial Economics berücksichtigen neueste technologische Entwicklungen

      Mehr erfahren
      Strategie
      Six Threats Demand a New Playbook for Banks in Wealth and Asset Management

      AI, direct-to-consumer models, and the return of local priorities are redrawing industry lines.

      Mehr erfahren
      Strategie
      Compete, Evolve, Compete Again

      What does it really take to stay relevant when the world refuses to stand still?

      Mehr erfahren
      Strategie
      The Magic of Founder-led Companies

      Companies with their founder present performed twice as well as their peers in the S&P 500 over the past decade.

      Mehr erfahren
      Strategie
      Betting on the Future without a Plan B?

      Fewer than half of CEOs say their companies have what it takes to thrive in today’s volatile world.

      Mehr erfahren
      First published in April 2017
      Markierungen
      • Strategie

      Wie wir unsere Kunden unterstützt haben

      Strategie A Conglomerate Charts a New Global Strategy

      Kundenbeispiel lesen

      Kundenstrategie und Marketing Designing a Sales Compensation Plan Based on an Unusual Metric

      Kundenbeispiel lesen

      Performance Improvement Transforming a telecommunications giant

      Kundenbeispiel lesen

      Möchten Sie mit uns in Kontakt bleiben?

      Wir unterstützen Führungskräfte weltweit, die kritischen Themen in ihrem Unternehmen zu adressieren. Gemeinsam schaffen wir nachhaltige Veränderungen und Ergebnisse.

      Bain Insights. Unsere Perspektive auf die kritischen Themen, mit denen sich international agierende Unternehmen konfrontiert sehen, finden Sie monatlich in Ihrem Postfach.

      *Ich habe die Datenschutzerklärung gelesen und akzeptiere sie.
      Bitte lesen Sie die Datenschutzerklärung und akzeptieren Sie diese.
      Bain & Company
      Contact us Sustainability Accessibility Rechtliche Hinweise Impressum Datenschutz Cookie-Richtlinie Sitemap Log In

      © 1996-2026 Bain & Company, Inc.

      Kontaktieren Sie Bain

      Wie können wir Ihnen helfen?

      • Business inquiry
      • Career information
      • Press relations
      • Partnership request
      • Speaker request
      Alle weltweiten Büros